RegisterLog in
Basketball
  • Home
  • Basketball
timer

This preview has expired.

See all our latest betting tips or suggested betting sites

Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers NBL Betting Tips - Who wins the Game 5 decider?

jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke
Editor
Last updated: Fri 03 Apr 2026 10:30
The Sydney Kings are tipped to win the NBL26 Championship on home court in Game 5 against the Adelaide 36ers. The series has been marked by intense matches, with Adelaide's one-point victory in Game 4 showcasing their resilience. Adelaide's success hinges on support scoring to alleviate pressure on Bryce Cotton. Conversely, the Sydney Kings have excelled in controlling the game's tempo, with standout performances by Kendric Davis. However, their challenge lies in executing late-game strategies under pressure to avoid narrow losses. Key bets suggest Sydney's win, Adelaide's spread coverage, and a high-scoring game for Cotton.
Share
Jeremy Darke 03 Apr 2026
Share this article
Or copy link
Copy
  • Sydney Kings favored to win the NBL26 Championship in Game 5.
  • Adelaide's Game 4 win highlighted crucial support scoring.
  • Key for Sydney: maintain control and execute under pressure.
Expired
kings 36ers
Adelaide 36ers and Sydney Kings (Getty Images)

Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings Preview


Sydney are tipped to win a tight Game 5 decider and claim the NBL26 Championship on home court this weekend.

This series has delivered everything from blowouts, clutch finishes, momentum swings and genuine on-court tension. It is the Kings who are backed to win the premiership.

  • Adelaide have played in 3 games this series decided by 3 points or less
  • Sydney have shot above 50% from the field in 2 of their 4 games this series
  • Bryce Cotton has averaged high shot volume in elimination scenarios
  • 3 of the last 4 Championship Series Game 5s have gone under the total line

Adelaide 36ers Keep The Series Alive


Adelaide showed enormous composure in Game 4, winning a one-point thriller to force this decider. Their ability to execute late, particularly through Bryce Cotton and Zylan Cheatham was the difference, with multiple players stepping up in key moments.

The biggest shift in that game was support scoring. When Cotton was pressured, Adelaide didn’t stall offensively. Cheatham’s all-round performance opened up the floor and allowed Adelaide to play with more balance.

That remains the key again here. If Adelaide can get meaningful contributions from two or more secondary players, they are capable of matching Sydney possession for possession. If not, the offensive burden on Cotton becomes too heavy against a defence that is built to trap and rotate.

Sydney Kings Remain Favourites


Sydney’s approach has been consistent across the series, control tempo, move the ball and force Adelaide into difficult half-court sets.

Kendric Davis has been the standout player across the Championship Series. His ability to create offence, both for himself and teammates, has given Sydney a clear structural advantage. 

When he gets into rhythm early, Sydney’s scoring efficiency spikes significantly, however, he has been guilty of doing too much at times.

Defensively, the Kings have continued to throw multiple looks at Bryce Cotton, including traps and aggressive on-ball pressure. While this worked in Games 1 and 3, Adelaide adjusted in Game 4 by moving the ball quicker and attacking mismatches.

Sydney’s challenge now is execution under pressure. They’ve had opportunities to close this series earlier and will need to be cleaner in late-game situations if they want to avoid another tight finish slipping away.

Verdict

Sydney to win, Adelaide to cover Cotton 25+ and the under 187.5. That should cover all aspects of a thriller.
Best Bet1: Sydney Kings Money Line @1/4 at Hollywood bets - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Adelaide +7.5 Handicap/Line @10/11 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Bryce Cotton 25+ Points @7/8 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Best Bet4: Under 187.5 Game Total @10/11 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Sydney Kings
Money Line
@1/4 - 4 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets
Adelaide +7.5
Handicap/Line
@10/11 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
Bryce Cotton
25+ Points
@7/8 - 2 Units
Bet £20 Get £10
Use promo code NEWBONUS

18+ New customers only. Bet £20 (or more) EVS (2.0) or greater Get 2 x £5 Free Bets. 1 x £5 Free Bet paid automatically & following £5 Free Bet after 24hrs. Min Free Bet odds 4/1 (5.0) on accumulators Trebles & upwards. Expires after 24hrs. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org

Bet at Star Sports
Under 187.5
Game Total
@10/11 - 2 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets

Top Betting Sites

special-offer-1Betting offers

Upcoming Events

28 March 2026

  • LEC 2026 Spring -
  • Esports

01 April 2026

  • LCK 2026 Rounds 1-2 -
  • Esports

04 April 2026

  • LCS 2026 Spring -
  • Esports
Load More
05 Apr 2026

Sydney Kings v Adelaide 36ers Game 5

Today's Acca Tips

  • Soccer tips

  • Tennis tips

 bonus image
Resources
Copyright © 2026 All Rights Reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part in any form or medium without express written permission is prohibited. Players must be 18 or over and located in jurisdictions where online gambling is legal. Please play responsibly. Bet with your head, not over it. Know when to Stop. Gamble responsibly and Think about your choices. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, and wants help, call or visit: gamcare.org.uk (UK), 800gambler.org (US), or gamblinghelponline.org.au (Australia). Gambling is addictive 18+. #Ads © 2026 freetips.com