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Pakistan vs Australia 3rd ODI Betting Tips - Pakistan to seal series win over Aussies

ralph-staniforth
Ralph Staniforth
Editor
Last updated: Wed 03 Jun 2026 21:54
The Pakistan vs Australia ODI series is finely poised at 1-1 heading into the decider. Pakistan's inconsistency at the top has been mitigated by strong middle/lower order contributions, while Australia's improved batting and form of Nathan Ellis gives them an edge. Predicted lineups remain largely unchanged, with key performances expected from Babar Azam and Shaheen Afridi for Pakistan and Inglis and Ellis for Australia. The recommendation marginally favors Pakistan to win the series, highlighting Shaheen Afridi's wicket-taking form and Babar Azam's run-scoring potential as crucial.
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  • ODI series tied 1-1; decider to determine the winner.
  • Babar Azam and Shaheen Afridi vital for Pakistan; Nathan Ellis in top form for Australia.
  • Prediction: Pakistan favored to clinch the series win.
Shaheen Shah Afridi
Shaheen Shah Afridi bowling against Australia (Getty Images).
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Australia managed to draw level in the last match after the Pakistan top order collapsed. I do feel the hosts will learn from that and bounce back with victory.

Key Stats - Babar Azam needs to Fire for Pakistan


  • Pakistan’s Babar Azam has scored 103, 68, 47 & 69 in his last 6 knocks.
  • Pakistan’s Shadab Khan has scored 36, 22 & 71 in his last 4 innings.
  • Pakistan’s Shaheen Shah Afridi took 3/36 in the 2nd ODI.
  • Australia’s Josh Inglis has scored 36, 60, 72 & 51 in 5 innings.
  • Australia’s Matt Renshaw hit 61 & 43 in his 2 innings in the series.
  • Australia’s Nathan Ellis took 4/33 in the 2nd ODI.

Series Level


Pakistan lead 3-2 in their last five ODIs against Australia. The current series is level at 1-1 with one match to play.

Pakistan Inconsistency Shining Through


Babar Azam scored just 16 in the 2nd ODI, but he has scored 47-plus in four of his previous five innings. Five of Pakistan’s top six scored 16 or less, and they only managed to reach 190 thanks to batters seven and eight adding 59 for the 7th wicket. Shadab Khan hit three sixes in his 104-ball innings of 71 while Arafat Minhas hit four fours in his 43-ball 33.

Shaheen Shah Afridi has figures of 2/36, 3/113, 2/54 and 3/36 in his last five innings and is worth backing to take two or more wickets in the match.

Australia Bounced Back in last Match


After struggling to score 200 in the 1st ODI of the series, the Aussies bounced back by scoring 231/9 off their 50 overs. Josh Inglis (51), Cameron Green (53), Matt Renshaw (43) and Oliver Peake (31) all put in a good shift with the bat.

Nathan Ellis has taken 2/26, 2/45 and 4/33 in his last three innings and is looking in great form with the ball. Matthew Short offered great support with figures of 3/36, knocking over two of Pakistan’s top six.

Pakistan vs Australia Predicted Lineups & Team news


Pakistan are likely to stick with the same side for the third match running, and Shadab Khan’s strong batting form down the order is adding great strength to his side. Sufyan Moqim is being touted to be given a run but including him would affect the balance of the side.

Marnus Labuschagne’s struggles with the bat are putting pressure on his place in the side although the selectors are likely to keep faith with his for the decider rather than blooding Liam Scott.

Pakistan (possible XI): Sahibzada Farhan, Maaz Sadaqat, Babar Azam, Ghazi Ghouri, Arafat Minhas, Salman Agha, Abdul Samad, Shadab Khan, Shaheen Afridi (c), Haris Rauf, Abrar Ahmed.

Australia (possible XI): Alex Carey, Matt Short, Josh Inglis (c), Marnus Labuschagne, Cameron Green, Matt Renshaw, Oli Peake, Matt Kuhnemann, Nathan Ellis, Adam Zampa, Tanveer Sangha.

Verdict

I’m backing Pakistan to claim the series win, with Shaheen Shah Afridi, Babar Azam and Nathan Ellis worth backing to perform with bat and ball.

Best Bet1: Shaheen Shah Afridi Take Over 1.5 Wickets @11/18 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Pakistan Win Result @8/13 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Babar Azam Score Over 36.5 Runs @5/6 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Nathan Ellis Take Over 1.5 Wickets @11/8 at 10bet - 1 Unit
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