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Ballon d'Or 2025 Predictions & Odds - Overwhelming Support for Ousmane Dembele in Betting Markets

gary-emmerson
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Last updated: Wed 23 Jul 2025 11:28
The Ballon d'Or 2025 sees Ousmane Dembele as the frontrunner, supported by prediction markets and betting odds. With over $1.1 million traded and an 82% predicted chance of winning, Dembele's remarkable 2024/25 season with Paris Saint-Germain, which included winning both Ligue 1 and the Champions League, positions him as the favorite. Meanwhile, promising talent Lamine Yamal from Barcelona is considered a distant second with odds at 5.00. Discover how these predictions unfold as the award ceremony approaches.
Gary Emmerson 23 Jul 2025
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  • Ousmane Dembele leads the Ballon d'Or 2025 predictions
  • Dembele dominates after his exceptional performances with PSG
  • Barcelona's Lamine Yamal is the second favorite, while Vitinha, Salah, and Raphina follow
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ballon d'or trophy
Ballon d'Or trophy (Getty Images)

The countdown is on to September's Ballon d’Or 2025 ceremony and the prediction markets and betting odds have one clear favourite in Ousmane Dembele. 

With over $1.1 million traded and an 82% implied probability of winning, the French winger is currently dominating on predictive platform like Polymarket.

The betting odds also back up the likelihood of Paris Saint-Germain's Dembele winning the top honour with the Frenchman a dominant 1.25 favourite by Stake.com.

Dembele's stellar 2024/25 campaign for Paris Saint-Germain saw him with both Ligue 1 and the Champions League and it is unsurprising he is the won to beat to the Ballon d'Or.

Lamine Yamal, the teenage sensation at Barcelona, has captured global attention but is seen as a distant second favourite priced at 5.00 in the odds.

Vitinha (PSG) at 11.00, Mohamed Salah (Liverpool) at 17.00 and Raphina (Barcelona) at 17.00 are next in the market ahead of the ceremony on September 22, 2025.

Ballon d'Or 2025 Winner
Odds
Ousmane Dembele1.25
Lamine Yamal5.00
Vitinha11.00
Raphina17.00
Mohamed Salah17.00
Cole Palmer21.00
Achraf Hakimi26.00
Fabian Ruiz26.00
Kylian Mbappe34.00
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia41.00
Nuno Mendes41.00
Others51.00+

Odds from Stake.com, correct on July 23, 2025

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