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Atletico Madrid vs Malaga Tips & Live Stream – Home Win & BTTS in La Liga

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026 09:50
Malaga has shown impressive attacking prowess, scoring 12 goals in five pre-season friendlies against reputable teams. This strong pre-season form suggests that Malaga is likely to score when they play in Madrid, but expert opinion suggests it might only be a consolation goal. The team’s attacking potential remains promising, yet expectations should be tempered regarding their overall outcome against Madrid.
Vedran Ostojic 1 hour ago
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  • Atletico Madrid struggled defensively in the pre-season
  • We are backing them to win here with BTTS
  • Watch Atletico Madrid vs Malaga live in La Liga
Atletico Madrid defeated Malaga in their last five h2h (Getty)
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On paper, Atletico Madrid should be a much stronger squad in comparison to last season and I will back them to collect three points here. However, they had zero clean sheets in recent friendlies, so a home win & BTTS is a value bet. 

Key Stats  


  • Atletico Madrid have won 2 of their last 3 matches (La Liga). 
  • Atletico Madrid have won their last 5 matches against Malaga. 
  • Atletico Madrid have seen BTTS in their last 5 matches (including pre-season). 
  • Malaga have seen BTTS in their last 6 matches. 

Atleti Dominate H2H 


These two sides met 71 times so far and Atletico Madrid hold a 40-12 advantage in terms of victories. 

Atletico Madrid Coming off a Disappointing Season 


Atletico Madrid didn’t win a single trophy last season, finishing in 4th place in the Spanish La Liga with 69 points, 25 less than the champions Barcelona. 

Their season started with a commanding 4-1 win over Getafe, but then suffered back to back defeats against Manchester United 2-1 and Manchester City 3-1. 

In their final test game, Diego Simeone’s side defeated Marseille 2-1 last weekend after a comeback, Rodrigo Mendoza and Carlos Martin appearing on the scoresheet. 

Malaga Among the Elite Once Again 


After an eight-year absence, Malaga finally returned to La Liga. After finishing fourth in Segunda, they eliminated Las Palmas 2-1 on aggregate in the playoff semifinals. 

In the playoff finals, Malaga hosted Almeria in the first tie which ended goalless, then won 2-1 on the road to secure promotion. Chupe broke the deadlock in the 65th minute, while David Larrubia doubled the lead six minutes later. 

Malaga’s results during the pre-season were mixed. In their last test game they locked horns against Fulham and barely avoided defeat, Eneko Jauregi scoring an equalizer in stoppage time (2-2). 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


Atletico Madrid (3-4-1-2) Jan Oblak; Marc Pubill, Robin Le Normand, David Hancko; Giuliano Simeone, Pablo Barrios, Koke, Alejandro Grimaldo; Lee Kang-in; Ademola Lookman, Arnau Ortiz 

Atletico Madrid made significant changes to their roster this summer, Thiago Almada, Nahuel Molina, Clement Lenglet and Antoine Griezmann leaving the club, while Cristiano Romero, Morten Hjulmand, Alejandro Grimaldo and Kang-in Lee are the biggest signings. It is still unknown if Julian Alvarez is staying since he demands transfer to Barcelona. 

Malaga (4-2-3-1) Alfonso Herrero; Carlos Puga, Alex Recio, Einar Galilea, Jose Salinas; David Larrubia, Izan Merino, Rodriguez, Dani Lorenzo, Joaquin Munoz; Chupe 

Aaron Ochoa won’t travel to Madrid for Malaga due to a suspension, while Adrian Nino, Diego Murillo and Carlos Dotor are injured. 

Verdict

Malaga netted 12 goals in their five pre-season friendlies against respectable opposition, so I like their chances of finding the net in Madrid but only as a consolation goal. 

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vedran-ostojic
Vedran Ostojic

Sports Editor • 10+ Years Of Experience in Football, Basketball, Handball & Volleyball

Located in Sarajevo, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Vedran is a passionate sports enthusiast with a particular love for the English Premier League. He's been writing about sports online for almost a decade with a degree in literature and sports journalism. The primary areas of focus include top European football leagues (mainly EPL, Serie A & Bundesliga) and basketball (Euroleague & NBA).

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