Aston Villa vs Chelsea Betting Tips - Goals to Flow in the Premier League
Aston Villa and Chelsea are both currently experiencing challenges in their defense, making them susceptible to conceding goals. This matchup at Villa Park is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with predictions encouraging backing goals. Odds suggest a favorable chance for both teams to score (BTTS) at 1.62, over 2.5 goals at 1.73, and even over 3.5 goals at 2.8. Bettors are advised to consider these options, allocating two units on the first two predictions and one unit on the latter.
- Aston Villa have conceded 6 goals in 3 games
- Chelsea haven’t kept an EPL clean sheet in 6 matches
- Premier League goals are tipped between these leaky sides
Aston Villa vs Chelsea Preview
Aston Villa’s recent form has tailed off and the Villans have started shipping goals. Chelsea have a poor defence and more goals are likely in this Premier League encounter.
- Aston Villa vs Chelsea Preview
- 6 Chelsea BTTS Results in a Row
- H2H - Goals Flow
- Aston Villa Leaking Goals
- Chelsea Score and Concede a Lot
- Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News
6 Chelsea BTTS Results in a Row
- Aston Villa have seen BTTS in their last 2 home games.
- Aston Villa have seen over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 9 home matches.
- Aston Villa have seen BTTS in their last 3 home games against Chelsea.
- Aston Villa have seen over 3.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 home matches against Chelsea.
- Chelsea have seen BTTS in 6 consecutive EPL games.
- Chelsea have seen over 2.5 goals in their last 4 away EPL matches.
| 2025/26 Premier League | Aston Villa | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Current Position | 4th | 6th |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored (pg) | 38 (1.36) | 49 (1.75) |
| Goals Conceded (pg) | 30 (1.07) | 33 (1.18) |
H2H - Goals Flow
Chelsea have a 70-62 advantage against Aston Villa, alongside 37 draws.
Aston Villa Leaking Goals
Aston Villa’s top-four push has tailed off following just one win in five. The Villans have struggled defensively during this run, conceding in four games.
Villa are winless in their last three fixtures, including a 3-1 home loss to Newcastle and a 1-1 draw with Leeds. Unai Emery’s side allowed over 1.21 XG in each match.
The Villans' downturn in form continued with a 2-0 loss at relegation-threatened Wolves. Villa couldn’t score with 1.03 XG and conceded twice in the final 30 minutes.
Chelsea Score and Concede a Lot
Chelsea have seen 18 total goals across their last five Premier League matches. Only two teams have seen more goals across the same period.
Liam Rosenior’s side beat Wolves 3-1 away before a three-match winless run. Chelsea’s downturn started with a 2-2 draw with Leeds and a 1-1 stalemate against Burnley.
The West Londoners’ winless streak continued with a 2-1 defeat at Arsenal. Chelsea conceded first, levelled through an own goal and shipped a second after half time.
Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez; Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne; Amadou Onana, Douglas Luiz; Leon Bailey, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia; Ollie Watkins
Midfielders Boubacar Kamara, Youri Tielemans, Harvey Elliott and John McGinn are ruled out due to injury.
Defender Andres Garcia is also unavailable with a hamstring issue.
Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez; Reece James, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Jorrel Hato; Moises Caicedo, Andrey Santos; Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Alejandro Garnacho; Joao Pedro
Attacker Pedro Neto was sent off against Arsenal and is suspended. Defender Levi Colwill, midfielder Dario Essugo and attackers Jamie Gittens and Estevao are sidelined with injuries.
Marc Cucurella could return for the Aston Villa match. Liam Rosenior was hopeful that the defender could come back on Wednesday and said, “Cucu is looking really good, and hopefully we can get him back involved, if not on Wednesday, then on Saturday.”
Verdict
Aston Villa and Chelsea have been very leaky in the Premier League. Neither side is solid at the back and it’s worth sticking with goals at Villa Park.
BTTS Yes
BTTS
@8/13 - 2 Units
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Over 2.5 Goals
Total Goals
@8/11 - 2 Units
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Over 3.5 Goals
Total Goals
@9/5 - 1 Unit
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