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Everton vs Burnley Betting Tips - Toffees to Win in the Premier League

alex-waite
Editor
Last updated: Mon 02 Mar 2026 09:56
Everton is anticipated to dominate their upcoming match against Burnley, capitalizing on the latter's struggles. The Toffees are expected to showcase their quality and secure a home victory. With decent betting value at a 1.67 return on 4 units, the odds are in favor of Everton this Premier League game.
Alex Waite 02 Mar 2026
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  • Everton have beaten mid-table opponents recently
  • Burnley lose most of their EPL matches
  • A home Premier League win is the best bet
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Everton
Everton have won 2 of their last 4 matches (Getty)

Everton vs Burnley Preview


Everton are a strong, hard-to-defeat side and Burnley lose a lot. The Toffees can secure back-to-back Premier League victories by defeating the Clarets.

Key Stats - Burnley Out of Form


  • Everton have won 2 of their last 4 matches.
  • Everton have won their last 3 home games against Burnley.
  • Burnley have lost 4 of their last 6 matches. 

2025/26 Premier LeagueEvertonBurnley
Current Position8th19th
Wins114
Draws77
Losses1017
Goals Scored (pg)32 (1.11 pg)32 (1.18 pg)
Goals Conceded (pg)33 (1.36 pg)56 (2.04 pg)

H2H - Everton in Control


Everton have a 55-38 advantage against Burnley, alongside 31 draws.

Everton Tough to Beat


David Moyes’ Everton are eighth in the Premier League and just five points off the top six. The Merseysiders are undefeated in seven of their previous nine matches.

The Toffees have sealed two wins in their last four league games, including a 2-1 victory at Fulham. Moyes’ side then lost against Bournemouth 2-1 and Man United 1-0.

Everton responded with a 3-2 victory at Newcastle on Saturday. Jarrad Branthwaite, Beto and Thierno Barry scored as the Toffees had 2.13 XG. 

Burnley Edging Towards EPL Relegation


Burnley have struggled to pull themselves out of relegation danger and have lost 17 matches. Only bottom of the table Wolves have lost more than the Clarets in 2025/26.

Scott Parker’s side lost 3-0 at Sunderland and 2-0 against West Ham before beating Palace 3-2. They couldn’t build on that victory and suffered a shock 2-1 FA Cup loss to Mansfield and drew 1-1 at Chelsea.

The Lancashire side’s winless run extended to three following a 4-3 home defeat to Brentford. Burnley were 3-0 down, hit back through Jaidon Anthony and Zian Flemming and conceded a fourth in the 93rd minute. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Everton (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford; Jake O'Brien, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitali Mykolenko; James Garner, Idrissa Gueye; Iliman Ndiaye, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Dwight McNeil; Beto

Forward Jack Grealish and midfielder Carlos Alcaraz are ruled out due to injury.

Burnley (3-4-2-1): Martin Dubravka; Josh Laurent, Joe Worrall, Maxime Esteve; Kyle Walker, Lesley Ugochukwu, Hannibal Mejbri, Bashir Humphreys; James Ward-Prowse, Jaidon Anthony; Zian Flemming

Defenders Connor Roberts and Jordan Beyer and midfielder Josh Cullen are injured. Attackers Mike Tresor, Zeki Amdouni and Armando Broja are also sidelined with injuries.

Axel Tuanzebe has been ruled out for the next two weeks with a leg injury. Scott Parker confirmed the defender’s absence and said, “Axel is probably still a few weeks away. He goes in for another injection, I think tomorrow, so he's a little bit away.”

Verdict

Everton are likely to control this match and have enough quality to beat a struggling Burnley side. A home win for the Toffees has decent value in the Premier League.

Best Bet1: Everton Win Full Time Result @2/3 at bet365 - 4 Units
Everton Win
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Bet at bet365
alex-waite
Alex Waite

Football Writer • 10+ Years Of Experience, Football Betting Analyst

Alex is a full-time sports writer, covering football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis as well as providing informative betting guides.

Alex was born in London and studied at Swansea University in Wales. He used to work as a teacher in London but changed a few years ago to work as a full-time sports writer. Mostly enjoys watching and writing about football, cricket, golf, rugby and tennis.

Also featured at OneFootball, Football Whispers and World Soccer Talk and can be found at Muckrack, LinkedIn, X and Game Day Stories SubStack.

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