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Leeds vs Sunderland Betting Tips - Premier League Draw the Best Bet

alex-waite
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Last updated: Mon 02 Mar 2026 10:37
Leeds United and Sunderland are both experiencing similar forms in the Premier League, with neither team showing dominance. This has led to predictions that their matchup at Elland Road is most likely to end in a draw. The odds for a draw stand at 3.6, with a specific 1-1 draw scoreline offering slightly higher odds at 7.5. Given their current performances, a draw seems the safest betting option for those considering wagering on the outcome.
Alex Waite 02 Mar 2026
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  • Leeds have drawn a lot of recent matches
  • Sunderland are on a long EPL winless run
  • These well-matched sides can draw in the Premier League
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Leeds
Leeds have drawn 3 of their last 4 games (Getty)

Leeds vs Sunderland Preview


Leeds have been hard to beat recently and the Whites draw a lot of games. Sunderland ended their losing streak with a solid 1-1 draw at Bournemouth and another Premier League stalemate is expected.

3 Draws in 4 For Leeds


  • Leeds have drawn 3 of their last 4 games.
  • Leeds have drawn 3 of their last 4 matches against Sunderland. 
  • Sunderland have drawn 5 of their last 10 away games.

2025/26 Premier LeagueLeedsSunderland
Current Position15th12th
Wins79
Draws1010
Losses119
Goals Scored (pg)37 (1.32)29 (1.04)
Goals Conceded (pg)47 (1.68)34 (1.21)

H2H - Recent Draws


Leeds have a 41-35 advantage against Sunderland, alongside 22 draws. 

Leeds Are Draw Specialists


Leeds have drawn 10 Premier League matches this season, the joint most of any team in the division. The Whites are in decent long-term form and are undefeated in seven of their last nine in all competitions. 

Daniel Farke’s team were unbeaten in four, starting with a 3-1 home win over Nottingham Forest. Three consecutive draws followed against Chelsea 2-2, Birmingham 1-1 and Aston Villa 1-1. 

The Whites’ unbeaten streak ended with a narrow 1-0 home loss against Man City. Leeds had 1.49 XG, 14 shots, and conceded the winner in first-half injury time. 

Sunderland in Patchy Form


Regis Le Bris’ Sunderland have also drawn 10 Premier League games in the 2025/26 campaign. The Wearside outfit are comfortably in mid-table after going unbeaten in 19 of 27 league matches this season.

Sunderland were pushing for Europe before a recent drop off in form. The Black Cats lost three on the spin at Arsenal 1-0 and at home against Liverpool 1-0 and Fulham 3-1.

Le Bris’ side stopped the slide with a 1-1 stalemate at Bournemouth on Saturday. Eliezer Mayenda opened the scoring after 18 minutes and Sunderland conceded midway through the second period. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Leeds (3-5-1-1): Karl Darlow; Jaka Bijol, James Justin, Pascal Struijk; Jayden Bogle, Ilia Gruev, Ehtan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson; Brenden Aaronson; Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Forward Noah Okafor is ruled out until mid-March with a thigh issue. 

Joe Rondon came off with an injury against Man City and is doubtful here. Daniel Farke was unsure about the severity of the defender’s injury and said, “I think it's his hamstring. We need to assess him; hopefully, it's not too serious.”

Sunderland (4-2-3-1): Robin Roefs; Lutsharel Geertruida, Dan Ballard, Omar Alderete, Trai Hume; Granit Xhaka, Habib Diarra; Noah Sadiki, Enzo Le Fee, Chemsdine Talbi; Eliezer Mayenda

Defender Nordi Mukiele and attackers Brian Brobbey and Romaine Mundle are unavailable due to injury. Winger Jocelin Ta Bi is also ruled out with an ankle problem. 

Dennis Cirkin and Reinildo Mandava are unlikely to return for the Leeds game. Regis Le Bris was cautious over the defensive pair's recent fitness and said, “Dennis is getting better, like Reinildo - the timeline should be around 10 days depending on the last stage of their rehab.”

Verdict

Leeds and Sunderland are in similar Premier League form and both sides draw a lot. The Whites and the Black Cats can cancel each other out at Elland Road and a draw is the best bet.

Best Bet1: Draw Full Time Result @13/5 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
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