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Man United vs Man City Predictions & Betting Tips - Red Devils to Hold Their Own in the Manchester Derby

matthew-marshall
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Last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026 13:00
Man United face Man City in a highly anticipated Manchester Derby, with both teams showing strong attacking form. United have been prolific at Old Trafford, while Erling Haaland is in sensational goal-scoring form for City. Despite United’s home advantage and recent scoring spree, City’s solid defense sets up a tight contest. The expert prediction leans towards a high-scoring draw, reflecting both teams' strengths and recent stats. Viewers can expect an exciting Premier League clash, with the recommendation to back a draw.
Matthew Marshall 1 hour ago
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  • Man United have scored 9 goals in 2 home matches
  • Erling Haaland is on fire for Man City, scoring 5 goals in 3 games
  • The stage is set for an exciting clash in the Premier League
Erling Haaland
Manchester City's Erling Haaland has scored 5 goals in 3 matches (Getty)

Man United have had no issues scoring goals at Old Trafford and Man City are finding their feet under Enzo Maresca. This one could go either way, so I am sitting on the fence and backing a draw.

Key Stats


  • Man United have won 10 of their last 11 home matches.
  • Man United are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 home matches against Man City.
  • Man City have won their last 4 matches.

HTH


Man United have an 81-63 lead against Man City alongside 54 draws. City haven’t scored in their last two games at Old Trafford.

Goals Flowing at Old Trafford


Manchester United have been below their best on the road, starting with a 2-0 defeat at Hull where they had 72% possession and 21-8 shots. They conceded in the 96th minute to draw 2-2 at Everton. 

The Red Devils have had no such issues at Old Trafford, scoring nine goals in two games. Bruno Fernandes hit a hat-trick in a dominant 5-2 victory over Ipswich.

Fernandes scored again as Michael Carrick’s side thrashed Sabah Baku in the Champions League. United had 10-0 shots on target and 3.55-0.83 xG.

Haaland on Fire


Manchester City suffered a 3-0 defeat to Arsenal in the Community Shield but have bounced back with four straight wins.

Two late goals earned Enzo Maresca’s side a 2-1 victory against Bournemouth. Erling Haaland and Rayan Cherki scored twice in a 4-1 win at Crystal Palace, Haaland scoring again in a 1-0 win against Coventry.

The Norwegian striker bagged another brace in a comfortable 2-0 win at Porto in the Champions League. The Citizens ended the contest with 64% possession and 20-5 shots, Haaland taking six of them.

Predicted Lineups & Team News


Man United (4-2-3-1) Senne Lammens; Diogo Dalot, Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martínez, Luke Shaw; Youri Tielemans, Kobbie Mainoo; Bryan Mbeumo, Bruno Fernandes, Marcus Rashford; Matheus Cunha

Centre-backs Matthijs de Ligt and Carlos Baleba are injured alongside midfielder Manuel Ugarte.

Marcus Rashford should reclaim his spot on the left wing with Matheus Cunha or Benjamin Sesko to start up front.

Man City (4-2-3-1) Gigi Donnarumma; Abdukodir Khusanov, Rúben Dias, Marc Guéhi, Rayan Ait-Nouri; Elliot Anderson, Enzo Fernández; Phil Foden, Rayan Cherki, Antoine Semenyo; Erling Haaland

Jérémy Doku is out with a calf injury. Abdukodir Khusanov and Rayan Ait-Nouri could come into the fullback positions with Phil Foden keeping his spot in the starting side.

Verdict

Man United are scoring for fun at home but it remains to be seen if they can stop Erling Haaland. This should be a fantastic clash, a score draw on the cards at Old Trafford.

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matthew-marshall
Matthew Marshall

Football & Tennis Editor/Writer • Portuguese Football Expert, ATP Tour Tennis Writer

Matthew Marshall is an Australian who worked in a number of industries before combining his love of football and media communications degree to become a sports journalist. Now living in Portugal, he is a Portuguese football expert at PortuGOAL and has covered multiple UEFA U21 European Championships, the 2022 and 2026 FIFA World Cup and the 2024 European Championship.


Recent Tipping Results:


2025/26 Liga Portugal
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