US US-OH Sabah Baku vs The New Saints Predictions & Tips - Home Win & Goals in the Champions League Qualifier on 7 July, 2026
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Sabah Baku vs The New Saints Predictions & Tips - Home Win Tipped in the Champions League Qualifier

alex-waite
Alex Waite
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Last updated: Mon 06 Jul 2026 11:56
Sabah Baku take on The New Saints in a Champions League Qualifier, and home advantage could make the difference. Both teams are prolific scorers, so goals are expected on both sides. The recommendation is a Sabah Baku win with over 2.5 goals, and possibly more than 3.5 goals in total, highlighting the likelihood of an attacking, open game. Bettors should look for BTTS (both teams to score) and a strong showing from the home team.
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  • Sabah Baku are unbeaten in 17 of their last 19 home games
  • The New Saints face a step up in quality in Azerbaijan
  • A home win and goals are tipped in this Champions League Qualifier
The New Saints
Craig Harrison's The New Saints have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 away matches (Getty)
brand Sabah Baku v The New Saints Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Soccer > UEFA Champions League Qualifying. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet Geo-restrictions apply. You must have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Over 18s only. T&Cs apply.

Sabah Baku vs The New Saints Preview


Sabah Baku are a tough home side and rarely lose at Bank Respublika Arena. The New Saints face a challenging away trip to Azerbaijan and a high-scoring home victory has good value. 

Key Stats - Sabah Baku Win a Lot at Home


  • Sabah Baku have won 10 of their last 14 home matches.
  • Sabah Baku have seen BTTS in their last 6 games.
  • The New Saints have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 6 away matches. 

H2H - First Encounter


This will be the first-ever meeting between Sabah Baku and The New Saints. 

Sabah Baku In Solid Home Form


Sabah Baku qualified for the 2026/27 Champions League Qualifiers after finishing top of the 
Azerbaijan Premier League. They scored a league high of 75 goals in 33 fixtures.

The Owls beat Turan 2-1 away in their last game of the 2025/26 campaign. Back-to-back 1-1 friendly draws with Universitatea Craiova and Ferencvaros followed.

The Azerbaijan team then lost 4-1 away against Polissya Zhytomyr. Sabah Baku were 2-0 down and Veljko Simic scored before Polissya Zhytomyr struck two late goals. 

The New Saints Face a Better Quality Side


Craig Harrison’s The New Saints won their sixth consecutive Welsh Premier League title last season. TNS finished six points clear at the top of the table and scored 59 goals in 22 matches. 

The Welsh side narrowly beat Barry Town 1-0 to finish the 2025/26 season. Harrison’s outfit then started pre-season with a 1-1 draw against Northern Irish side Glentoran. 

TNS came back from a goal down to beat second-tier Northern Irish outfit H&W Welders 2-1 last time out. Rhys Hughes and Josh Lock scored either side of half time to complete the comeback victory.

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Sabah Baku (4-2-3-1): Stas Pokatilov; Akim Zedadka, Steve Solvet, Rahman Dashdamirov, Tymoteusz Puchacz;  Zinedine Ould Khaled, Umarali Rakhmonaliev, Aleksey Isayev; Jesse Sekidika, Aaron Malouda; Orphe Mbina

Winger Khayal Aliyev is ruled out due to a tendon injury. 

The New Saints (4-2-3-1): Nathan Shepperd; Zach Nolan, Jack Bodenham, Harvey, Godsmark-Ford, Daniel Williams; Dominic Corness, Daniel Redmond; Ryan Brobbel, Eoin Farrell, Rory Holden; Jordan Williams

The New Saints have no injuries or suspensions.

Attacker Jordan Williams is likely to start after scoring 28 goals in 39 appearances last season. 

Zach Nolan could make his competitive debut on Tuesday. The full-back joined from Ballymena United in June. 

Verdict

Sabah Baku can use their home advantage in this Champions League Qualifier to beat The New Saints. Both sides score a lot and a home win with over 2.5 goals is anticipated.

Best Bet1: BTTS Yes BTTS @21/20 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Sabah Baku & Over 2.5 Full Time Result & Total Goals @11/10 at bet365 - 3 Units
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