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The New Saints vs Sabah Baku Predictions & Tips - Baku to Win Champions League Qualifier

alex-waite
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Last updated: Mon 13 Jul 2026 12:04
Sabah Baku dominated The New Saints in the Champions League Qualifier first leg and look primed for another win in the return leg in Wales. With The New Saints struggling for form and Sabah Baku showing clear superiority, expectations are high for the Owls to secure a convincing aggregate victory. Betting odds of 1.65 reflect Sabah Baku’s status as favorites, and a two-unit recommendation underlines confidence in their ability to advance further in the competition.
Alex Waite 1 hour ago
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  • The New Saints lost 2-0 to Sabah Baku in the first leg
  • The Owls dominated the match and showed their quality
  • Sabah Baku can win again in the Champions League Qualifier
Sabah Baku
Sabah Baku have won 7 of their last 12 matches (Getty)
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The New Saints vs Sabah Baku Preview


The New Saints struggled to threaten at Sabah Baku in the Champions League Qualifier first leg. The Welsh side have lost recent games at home and an away win is the best bet.

Key Stats - TNS Out of Form at Home


  • The New Saints have lost 2 of their last 3 home games.
  • Sabah Baku have won 7 of their last 12 matches.

H2H 


Sabah Baku beat The New Saints 2-0 in the only previous encounter. 

The New Saints Look Unconvincing


Craig Harrison’s The New Saints are having a downturn in form after winning once in three games. 

The Welsh side underperformed in pre-season and lost 1-1 at Glentoran in their opening friendly. The Saints then edged past semi-professional Northern Irish opponents H&W Welders with a 2-1 comeback win. 

TNS lost their Champions League Qualifier first leg 2-0 at Sabah Baku. Harrison’s team had just two shots, 25% possession and conceded twice in the final 30 minutes. 

Sabah Baku Are Hard to Beat


Sabah Baku don’t lose many games and are undefeated in 38 of their last 41 matches in all competitions. They have won 26 games in that spell. 

The Owls were on a three-match unbeaten run, defeating Turan 2-1 away before 1-1 friendly draws with Craiova and Ferencvaros. That streak ended with a 4-1 defeat against Polissya Zhytomyr. 

The Azerbaijani outfit responded with a 2-0 Champions League victory over The New Saints. Sabah Baku had 14 shots, five on target and Veljko Simic and Kaheem Parris scored late on. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


The New Saints (4-3-3): Nathan Shepperd; Daniel Williams, Dynel Simeu, Jack Bodenham, Daniel Redmond; Leo Smith, Dominic Corness, Eoin Farrell; Rhys Hughes, Jordan Williams, Ben Clark

New signing Rhys Hughes is expected to make his home debut against Sabah Baku. The attacker scored 15 goals for Connah's Quay Nomads last season. 

Sabah Baku (4-3-3): Stas Pokatilov; Akim Zedadka, Aden McCarthy, Rahman Dashdamirov, Tymoteusz Puchacz; Umarali Rakhmonaliyev, Ivan Lepinjica, Aleksey Isayev; Veljko Simic, Joy-Lance Mickels, Aaron Malouda

Defender Steve Solvet was sent off in the first leg against The New Saints and is suspended here.

Verdict

The New Saints are lacking form and were outplayed in the first leg at Sabah Baku. The Owls can show their strength again in Wales and secure a Champions League Qualifier victory.

Best Bet1: Sabah Baku Win Full Time Result @11/17 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Sabah Baku Win
Full Time Result
@11/17 - 2 Units

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