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Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Tips & Predictions - Gunners Win Tipped in the Champions League

alex-waite
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Last updated: Mon 16 Mar 2026 09:55
Arsenal is poised to leverage their home advantage in their upcoming Champions League match against Bayer Leverkusen. Given both teams' scoring capabilities, a bet on an Arsenal win with over 2.5 goals offers good value. Suggested bets include Arsenal to win with over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.87 for 2 units, both teams scoring (BTTS Yes) at 2.15 for 2 units, and over 3.5 total goals at odds of 2.63 for 1 unit. This game could be a high-scoring affair, promising an exciting night for fans.
Alex Waite 16 Mar 2026
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  • Arsenal have won all 4 UCL home games this season
  • Bayer Leverkusen score in most of their matches
  • A high-scoring Gunners Champions League win has value
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Arsenal
Arsenal have won their last 6 home games (Getty)

Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen Preview


Arsenal are in excellent home form this season and have enough quality to beat Bayer Leverkusen. Both sides create plenty of chances and a home win with over 2.5 goals is predicted. 

Arsenal on a 6 Match Winning Streak


  • Arsenal have won their last 6 home games.
  • Arsenal have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 home matches.
  • Bayer Leverkusen have seen BTTS 3 consecutive games. 

H2H - BTTS Regulars


Arsenal have a 1-0 advantage against Bayer Leverkusen, alongside two draws.

Arsenal Have Winning Momentum at Home


Arsenal had one of the Champions League’s best home records during the group stage. The Gunners won all four matches at the Emirates and scored 12 goals.

Mikel Arteta’s side ended the league phase with a 3-2 home win over Kairat Almaty. That victory started a 13-match unbeaten run in all competitions, including nine wins.

The Gunners have also been high-scoring during this run, seeing BTTS seven times and netting 30 goals. Arsenal were held to a 1-1 draw at Bayer Leverkusen in the last 16 first leg.

Arteta’s outfit continued their unbeaten run with a 2-0 home win against Everton. Arsenal had 2.7-1.05 XG and Viktor Gyokeres and Max Dowman scored in the closing stages. 

Bayer Leverkusen Get Amongst the Goals


Bayer Leverkusen are in decent form and undefeated in 13 of their last 14 matches. Die Werkself have scored at least once in 12 of those games.

Leverkusen have drawn five of their previous six in all competitions. Their only recent win was at Hamburg 1-0, which came before three consecutive draws.

The Bundesliga side held Freiburg to a 3-3 away draw before a 1-1 stalemate with Arsenal. Leverkusen had 27 total shots and 2.96 XG across those matches.

Kasper Hjulmand’s side drew for a third consecutive game after a 1-1 deadlock against Bayern Munich. Aleix Garcia scored after just six minutes and Leverkusen had 3.24 XG before conceding with 20 minutes left. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Arsenal (4-2-3-1): David Raya; Cristhian Mosquera, William Saliba, Gabriel, Piero Hincapie; Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice; Bukayo Saka, Eberechi Eze, Gabriel Martinelli; Viktor Gyokeres

Defender Jurrien Timber came off injured in the first half against Everton and could miss out against Leverkusen. Midfielders Miel Merino and Martin Odegaard are ruled out due to injury.

Leandro Trossard is a doubt due to a hip issue. Mikel Arteta has been cautious over the winger’s recent fitness and said, “We’ll see, we will have to wait and see and speak to the doctors on whether they are involved or not.”

Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-2-1): Janis Blaswich; Jarell Quansah, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba; Ernest Poku, Ezequiel Fernandez, Exequiel Palacios, Alejandro Grimaldo; Jonas Hofmann, Ibrahim Maza; Christian Kofane

Attacker Eliesse Ben Seghir has an ankle injury and goalkeeper Mark Flekken is out with a ligament problem.

Defensive trio Loic Bade, Lucas Vazquez and Arthur are also sidelined with injuries. 

Verdict

Arsenal can use their home advantage to beat Bayer Leverkusen and progress in the Champions League. These sides know how to score and a home win with over 2.5 goals has good value.

Best Bet1: Arsenal Win & Over 2.5 Full Time Result & Total Goals @7/8 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: BTTS Yes BTTS @23/20 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Over 3.5 Goals Total Goals @13/8 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
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