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Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid Tips & Predictions - Goals Likely in the Champions League

alex-waite
Alex Waite
Editor
Last updated: Tue 17 Mar 2026 10:23
As Tottenham and Atletico Madrid prepare for their Champions League face-off, fans can anticipate a high-scoring match. Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses, leading to frequent goal concessions. The first leg between these two sides was notably open, and the trend is expected to continue. Betting predictions suggest multiple goals, with BTTS advised at odds of 1.67, over 2.5 goals at 1.73, and over 3.5 goals at 2.8. Enthusiasts should brace for an exciting encounter with plenty of action.
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Alex Waite 17 Mar 2026
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  • Tottenham lost 5-2 at Atletico in the last 16 first leg
  • Atletico Madrid concede a lot of UCL away goals
  • BTTS and over 2.5 goals are the best bets in the Champions League
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Tottenham
Tottenham have seen BTTS in 6 consecutive matches (Getty)

Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid Preview


Tottenham haven’t kept a clean sheet since January and the North Londoners concede loads of goals. Atletico Madrid are also leaky on the road and more Champions League goals are expected.

6 Consecutive BTTS Results for Tottenham


  • Tottenham have seen BTTS in 6 consecutive matches.
  • Tottenham have seen over 3.5 goals in their last 2 home games.
  • Atletico Madrid have seen over 3.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 UCL away matches. 

H2H 


Atletico Madrid have a 2-0 advantage against Tottenham in two previous meetings. 

Tottenham Are Very Leaky


Tottenham are out of form following an eight-match winless run, including six defeats. Spurs have conceded 21 goals in that period and scored nine.

The North Londoners lost six matches in a row from February to March. Spurs lost at home to Newcastle 2-1, Arsenal 4-1 and Crystal Palace 3-1 in that spell and allowed over 1.78 XG in each match.

Igor Tudor’s side also lost 5-2 at Atletico Madrid in the Champions League last 16 first leg. Tottenham were 4-0 down after 22 minutes and conceded a fifth after half time.

Spurs showed some improvements in a 1-1 draw at Liverpool on Sunday. They conceded after 18 minutes, allowed 1.7 XG and Richarlison equalised in the 90th minute. 

Atletico Madrid Struggle on the Road


Atletico Madrid have won just once in their five Champions League away games this season. The LaLiga outfit have seen 24 goals in five European away matches, conceding 13. 

Diego Simeone’s side lost 3-0 at Barcelona in their most recent away game and allowed over 3 XG. Atleti responded with a three-match winning run at home, starting with victories against Real Sociedad 3-2 and Tottenham 5-2.

Atleti extended their winning streak with a 1-0 victory against Getafe. Nahuel Molina scored the winner after eight minutes and Atletico had 16 shots. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Tottenham (4-4-2): Guglielmo Vicario; Pedro Porro, Kevin Danso, Radu Dragusin, Djed Spence; Souza, Archie Gray, Pape Matar Sarr, Mathys Tel; Richarlison, Dominic Solanke

Midfielders Yves Bissouma, Joao Palhinha, Rodrigo Bentancur, Dejan Kulusevski and James Maddison are out. 

Attackers Wilson Odobert, Mohammed Kudus and Lucas Bergvall and defensive pair Ben Davies and Cristian Romero are also injured. 

Defender Destiny Udogie and Conor Gallagher are likely to return for the Atletico Madrid clash. Igor Tudor expects Gallagher to return on Wednesday following illness and said, “Conor has some fever. But probably he will be in,”

Atletico Madrid (4-3-3): Juan Musso; Nahuel Molina, Jose Gimenez, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri; Giuliano Simeone, Marcos Llorente, Koke, Ademola Lookman; Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez

Midfielders Pablo Barrios and Rodrigo Mendoza are injured and won’t feature. Goalkeeper Jan Oblak is also sidelined due to a muscle issue.

Verdict

Tottenham and Atletico Madrid concede a lot of goals. The first leg between these sides was very open and another Champions League high-scorer is likely.

Best Bet1: BTTS Yes BTTS @2/3 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 2.5 Goals Total Goals @8/11 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Over 3.5 Goals Total Goals @9/5 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
BTTS Yes
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Bet at Star Sports

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