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Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins Betting Tips – Lions To Cover One-TD Spread In NFL

leigh-copson
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Last updated: Wed 04 Nov 2026 11:32
The Detroit Lions are tipped to cover a one-touchdown spread as they visit the Miami Dolphins. Detroit come into the fixture on a three-game win streak, having improved to 5-2 with recent division wins. Their offence, led by Jared Goff, is expected to have success against a Miami defence that ranks in the bottom 10 for points allowed per game. Meanwhile, the Dolphins have lost six of their first seven games and have struggled to cover at home, reinforcing confidence in the Lions to deliver a convincing result.
Leigh Copson 3 hours ago
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  • Detroit tipped to cover one-touchdown spread at Miami
  • Detroit are on a three-game win streak; Miami have lost six of seven
  • Lions' offense faces a Dolphins defense ranked in the bottom 10 for points allowed
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Detroit are tipped to cover a one-touchdown spread as they win in Miami.

The Lions have the offensive firepower to light up this Dolphins defense, and a pass rush that can get after Malik Willis and make it a long day for the Miami quarterback.

Key Numbers – Will Lions Win 4th Straight Game?

  • Detroit Lions are on a 3-game win streak
  • Miami Dolphins have lost 6 of their first 7 games
  • Miami Dolphins have failed to cover in 2 of their 3 home games
  • The Over has cashed in 5 of Detroit’s 7 games

Dolphins Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting

  • Miami Dolphins lead the all-time series 8-5
  • Miami Dolphins won 31-27 when the two teams last met in October 2022

Detroit Lions Riding Three-Game Win Streak

Detroit head to Miami riding a season-best three-game win streak that has improved their record to 5-2.

The Lions enjoyed a winning start to the season as they beat New Orleans 31-30 in overtime, but they struggled for consistency over the first several weeks.

They lost 41-31 in Buffalo, and then failed to back up a 31-24 success against the New York Jets as they fell 32-26 in Carolina.

Detroit responded to that second loss with a 45-21 blowout of Arizona on the road, and that proved to be the start of an improved run that has seen them record back-to-back division wins.

The Lions beat Green Bay 20-17 thanks to a walk-off field goal, and then ended Minnesota’s unbeaten start to the season with a 19-15 victory.

Miami Dolphins Have Lost Six Of First Seven Games

Miami enter this matchup having failed to back up their first win of the season, falling to 1-6 last time out.

The Dolphins opened the season with back-to-back road defeats, as they were beaten 27-13 in Las Vegas and 35-13 at San Francisco.

They then fell 24-10 to Kansas City, before losing 15-10 at Minnesota and 31-24 at home to Cincinnati.

Miami finally got off the mark in Week 7, as they returned from the bye week with a 28-25 win at the New York Jets, but their joy was short-lived.

The Dolphins made an immediate return to losing ways last weekend, as they were beaten 24-19 by New England.

Verdict

Detroit have ground out a couple of big division wins, but we expect a much more convincing victory here.

Jared Goff and this Lions offense can enjoy plenty of success against a Miami defense that ranks in the bottom 10 in the league in points allowed per game.

Best Bet1: Detroit -6.5 Spread @4/5 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Over 43.5 Total Points @9/10 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Detroit -6.5
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Over 43.5
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Bet at Star Sports
leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.

During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.

He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.

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