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Texas at Missouri Betting Tips – Tigers To Cover As College Football Underdogs

leigh-copson
Editor
Last updated: Wed 04 Nov 2026 13:19
Missouri are tipped to cover as slight home underdogs against Texas in their upcoming NCAAF matchup. The Tigers have excelled at home, with Austin Simmons performing well in the passing game and a strong running attack. Texas have failed to cover in both previous road games and in three of five conference games this season. Missouri covered in their only prior game as a home underdog and improved to 6-2 after a convincing win over Arkansas. Despite Texas leading the all-time series, Missouri’s home form and offensive strengths support the tip.
Leigh Copson 2 hours ago
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  • Missouri tipped to cover as slight home underdogs against Texas
  • Texas have failed to cover in both previous road games this season
  • Missouri’s offense and home form provide a key advantage
(Getty Images)

Missouri are tipped to cover as a slight underdog at home.

The Tigers run the ball well and Austin Simmons has done his best work in the passing game at home, while Texas have underwhelmed away from Memorial Stadium this season.

Key Numbers – Will Texas Remain Cover-less On The Road?

  • Texas failed to cover in their 2 previous road games
  • Texas have failed to cover in 3 of their 5 conference games
  • Missouri covered in their only previous game as a home underdog
  • The Under has cashed in 5 of Missouri’s last 6 games

Texas Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting

  • Texas lead the all-time series 7-1
  • Texas won 33-16 when the two teams last met in December 2017

Texas 6-2 Following Back-To-Back Wins

Texas head to Missouri having kept their playoff hopes alive with back-to-back wins to improve to 6-2.

The Longhorns opened the season with a 59-7 blowout of Texas State, and backed that up with a 24-23 victory over an Ohio State team that was ranked number one by AP.

They then beat UTSA 30-6 to take a perfect record into their SEC opener, in which they beat Tennessee 20-17 on the road.

Texas’ form slumped after that though, as they followed a 27-24 defeat to ‘Red River’ rivals Oklahoma with a 27-24 loss at home to Florida.

With their season on the line, the Longhorns have rallied however, backing up a 34-27 upset of Ole Miss with a 31-3 blowout of Mississippi State.

Missouri Improved To 6-2 Last Weekend

Missouri go into this matchup having rebounded from their second loss of the season, improving to 6-2.

The Tigers opened with three consecutive wins against non-conference opposition, beating Arkansas-Pine Bluff 54-14, Kansas 38-21 and Troy 27-17.

However, they failed to make it four-in-a-row as they lost 31-24 to Mississippi State in their SEC opener.

Missouri rebounded with a 45-17 demolition of Florida and a 27-6 blowout of Texas A&M, only to see their playoff aspirations receive another blow with a 31-3 loss at Ole Miss.

The Tigers bounced back at the first attempt though, beating Arkansas 34-10 on the road last weekend.

Verdict

Texas arrive on the back of a couple of wins, but there are still question marks surrounding them as a road team.

Missouri are rock solid at home, where the offense has moved the ball well, so give us the Tigers and the free points in a matchup that could go right down to the wire.

Best Bet1: Missouri +2.5 Spread @20/21 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Under 42.5 Total Points @9/10 at Star Sports - 2 Units
Missouri +2.5
Spread
@20/21 - 4 Units
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Under 42.5
Total Points
@9/10 - 2 Units
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Bet at Star Sports
leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.

During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.

He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.

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