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Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Betting Tips - Firing Phoenix to win again in NBL

jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke
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Last updated: Tue 16 Dec 2025 14:47
The much-anticipated clash between Perth Wildcats and South East Melbourne Phoenix promises high stakes and intense performances. South East Melbourne Phoenix are tipped as the underdogs to watch, largely due to Nathan Sobey's standout scoring prowess, averaging 21.5 points this season. Perth Wildcats, coming off a mixed week of a win and a loss, must find better offensive tactics to triumph, especially focusing on improving their shooting percentages. Key to the Wildcats' gameplay, Jo Lual-Acuil, is anticipated to dominate the rebounds, which will be crucial in this face-off.
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Jeremy Darke 16 Dec 2025
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  • South East Melbourne Phoenix tipped to win, Sobey avg. 21.5 pts.
  • Wildcats face varying results, need offensive sync.
  • Jo Lual-Acuil expected for 7+ rebounds battle.
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nathan sobey
Nathan Sobey of SE Phoenix (Getty Images)

Perth Wildcats vs South East Melbourne Phoenix Preview


A high scoring game is expected between these two sides. There is value on underdogs the Phoenix to edge to victory with Nathan Sobey to be key to it all.

  • South East Melbourne have won 4 of their last 5 away matches. 
  • The last 3 matches between SEM and Perth have gone over the game total of 182.5.
  • Nathan Sobey averages 21.5 points this season.
  • Jo Lual-Acuil has averaged 7.33 rebounds in his last 3 matches.

Perth Wildcats Suffer Differing Fortunes


Despite getting a 24-point win against Brisbane in their second match of round 12, it was a bit of a slump week for the Wildcats who also took on a 29-point defeat at the hands of the Sydney Kings. 

Perth were not in sync offensively scoring just 29 points in their loss to the Kings and 86 points in their victory over the Bullets, both scores below their season average of 88.9 points per game.

The wildcats strength has been their ability to dominate down low with Jo Lual-Acuil and Kristian Doolittle, however in both matches last round both players failed to score in the double digits, putting more pressure on their perimeter shooters, which didn’t enhance their offence. 

The Cats shot at just 41.0 FG% against the Bullets going 11-37 from three and that number was obviously even worse in their heavy defeat to the Kings sinking buckets at just 33.3 FG% and an ugly 58.8 FT%.

South East Melbourne Phoenix & Sobey Shine


The Phoenix also had a win and a loss in Round 12, going down to the JackJumpers 89-81 in their Ignite Cup contest, but found their offence again in their 92-80 victory over the Breakers on Saturday. 

The difference in performances, especially on the offensive side, was Nathan Sobey. It was a frustrating second half against the JackJumpers for the S.E.M leading scorer, who was frustrated physically and mentally by the JackJumpers defence, scoring just 1 point after a scuffle late in the second quarter. 

No frustration was taken into the encounter with New Zealand, as Sobey settled and led the Phoenix with a season-high of 36 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists. S.E Melbourne were also much better defensively, getting in the face of the Breakers who shot at 37.5 FG%.

Verdict

Nathan Sobey is tipped to drop 20+ as the Phoenix score over 91.5 points on their way to victory. The battle down low will be intense and Jo Lual-Acuil will record 7+ rebounds.

Best Bet1: S.E Melbourne Phoenix Money Line @32/33 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: S.E.M Over 91.5 Team Total @10/11 at bet365 - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Nathan Sobey 20+ Points @11/20 at Star Sports - 4 Units
Best Bet4: Jo Lual-Acuil 7+ Rebounds @8/11 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
S.E Melbourne Phoenix
Money Line
@32/33 - 3 Units
£30 Free Bet
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S.E.M Over 91.5
Team Total
@10/11 - 2 Units
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Bet at bet365
Nathan Sobey
20+ Points
@11/20 - 4 Units
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Bet at Star Sports
Jo Lual-Acuil
7+ Rebounds
@8/11 - 3 Units
£30 Free Bet
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Perth Wildcats v South East Melbourne Phoenix

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