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England vs New Zealand 3rd Test Betting Tips - England backed to clinch series

ralph-staniforth
Editor
Last updated: Wed 24 Jun 2026 15:01
England and New Zealand head into the 3rd Test at Trent Bridge with the series finely balanced at 1-1. England enjoy a historically strong record at this ground and welcome Ben Stokes back, aiming to bounce back after inconsistent results. Joe Root and Shoaib Bashir are highlighted as key players for England, while Matt Henry is tipped to shine for New Zealand after his superb 2nd Test performance. With clear weather expected, a result looks likely, and England are tipped to win.
Ralph Staniforth 2 hours ago
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  • Series tied 1-1; England historically strong at Trent Bridge.
  • England bring back Ben Stokes; Root and Bashir key players.
  • New Zealand unchanged; Matt Henry in top form after 2nd Test.
Joe Root
Joe Root is England's second most prolific Test batter at Trent Bridge (Getty Images).

England suffered a defeat in the second Test, so with the series at 1-1, this is the decider. England's record at Trent Bridge is good, so I believe they can bounce back with a win.
  • England’s Joe Root has scored 956 runs in Tests at Trent Bridge in his career.
  • England’s Harry Brook has scored 56, 24 & 58 in his 4 innings in the series.
  • England’s Shoaib Bashir has taken 15 wickets in his 2 Tests at Trent Bridge.
  • New Zealand’s Henry Nicholls has scored 77, 68, 24 & 121 in his last 6 knocks.
  • New Zealand’s Daryl Mitchell scored 44 & 68 in the 2nd Test.
  • New Zealand’s Matt Henry had match figures of 11/109 in the 2nd Test win.

Tight Series


England have won three and lost two of their last five Tests against New Zealand. The last time New Zealand beat England at Trent Bridge was in 1986.

England Need to Bounce Back


England have lost three of their last five Tests, winning twice, first against Australia in the 5th Test in January and against New Zealand last week.

Joe Root is England’s second most prolific batter in Tests at Trent Bridger, scoring 956 runs in 9 Tests at an average of 68.28, including five centuries. Root scored 46 and 77 in the 2nd Test. Harry Brook and Emilio Gay are the next two most successful English batters in the series, each scoring a pair of 40s in their four innings against New Zealand. 

Josh Tongue and Matthew Fisher have both picked up eight wickets in the two Tests in the series, while Jofra Archer returned figures of 2/61 and 3/62 in the 2nd Test.

Shoaib Bashir has picked up just seven wickets in his last five innings, but the pitch will suit his bowling down to the ground. Bashir has played just twice in a Test at Trent Bridge, taking 2/109 and 5/41 against the West Indies in 2024, and following that up with 3/62 and 6/81 against Zimbabwe last May.

New Zealand can Continue Momentum


New Zealand bounced back from defeat in the 1st Test to beat England by 253 runs in the 2nd Test to level the series at 1-1. It was New Zealand’s fourth Test win in their last five Tests.

Glenn Phillips scored a magnificent century (100 off 135 balls) in the 1st innings of the 2nd Test to ensure his side had a first innings lead over England. Henry Nicholls (121 off 171 balls), Daryl Mitchell (68 off 108) and Rachin Ravindra (76 off 99 balls) ensured New Zealand had a massive lead to set up the victory over England.

Matt Henry picked up figures of 5/80 and 6/29 in the 2nd Test win against England, while Will O’Rourke has taken seven wickets in the four England innings in the series. Kyle Jamieson took 5/62 in the first innings of the 1st Test and has taken 10 wickets in the four innings in the series. Nathan Smith took 3/38 and 6/70 in the 1st Test.

England vs New Zealand 3rd Test News & Predicted Lineups


With almost no rain predicted for the next five days in Nottingham and both sides bowling superbly, we’re likely to get a result in this Test.  

England have brought back Ben Stokes and Gus Atkinson from suspension, along with selecting Shoaib Bashir to take advantage of the hot weather and the spin it should bring to the Trent Bridge pitch. Player of the Match in the 1st Test at Lord's was Ollie Robinson but he missed the 2nd Test with a knee injury but has not been selected due to the likelihood that spin could play a factor in the match. Jamie Smith is also brought back after missing the 2nd Test through paternity leave, with James Rew dropping out.

New Zealand have no injury concerns and are likely to field the same side that won the 2nd Test.

England XI: Ben Duckett, Emilio Gay, Jacob Bethell, Joe Root, Harry Brook, Jamie Smith, Ben Stokes (c), Gus Atkinson, Jofra Archer, Josh Tongue, Shoaib Bashir. 

New Zealand (possible XI): Tom Latham (c), Devon Conway, Henry Nicholls, Rachin Ravindra, Daryl Mitchell, Tom Blundell, Nathan Smith, Kyle Jamieson, Matt Henry, Will O’Rourke, Glenn Phillips.

Verdict

England are tipped to win, with Joe Root, Shoaib Bashir and Matt Henry backed to star with bat and ball. 
      
Best Bet4: Joe Root Player of the Match @8/1 at Hollywood bets - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Shoaib Bashir Take 5+ Wickets @11/4 at 10bet - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Matt Henry Take Over 5.5 Wickets @6/5 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
Best Bet1: England Win Result @15/19 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Joe Root
Player of the Match
@8/1 - 1 Unit

Bet at Hollywood bets
Shoaib Bashir
Take 5+ Wickets
@11/4 - 1 Unit

Bet at 10bet
Matt Henry
Take Over 5.5 Wickets
@6/5 - 1 Unit

Bet at Star Sports
England Win
Result
@15/19 - 2 Units

Bet at Hollywood bets

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