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Chelsea vs Newcastle Betting Tips - Premier League Goals Expected

alex-waite
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Last updated: Thu 12 Mar 2026 15:01
Chelsea and Newcastle United are set to face off in a Premier League match that promises excitement and plenty of goals as both teams have been struggling defensively. With both sides consistently conceding, the recommendation is to bet on BTTS (Both Teams to Score) and over 2.5 goals. This matchup offers a betting value of 1.75 for BTTS and over 2.5 goals for 2 units, and 2.32 for over 3.5 goals for 1 unit. High-scoring drama awaits fans and bettors alike!
Alex Waite 12 Mar 2026
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  • Chelsea have seen 16 goals in 3 matches
  • Newcastle haven’t kept a clean sheet in 13 games
  • A Premier League high-scorer is tipped on Saturday
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Chelsea
Chelsea have seen over 3.5 goals in their last 3 games (Getty)

Chelsea vs Newcastle Preview


Chelsea and Newcastle struggle to defend and both sides score a lot. More Premier League goals are anticipated at Stamford Bridge. 

13 Straight BTTS Results for Newcastle 


  • Chelsea have seen over 3.5 goals in their last 3 games.
  • Chelsea have seen BTTS in 5 consecutive matches.
  • Newcastle have seen BTTS in their last 13 games.

2025/26 Premier LeagueChelseaNewcastle
Current Position5th12th
Wins1311
Draws96
Losses712
Goals Scored (pg)53 (1.83)42 (1.45)
Goals Conceded (pg)34 (1.17)43 (1.48)

H2H - Plenty of Recent Goals


Chelsea have an 81-58 advantage against Newcastle, alongside 41 draws. 

Chelsea Poor in Defence


Liam Rosenior’s Chelsea have hit patchy form and won just three of their previous nine games. The London side have conceded 15 and scored 19 during that period.

The Blues dropped recent Premier League points after a 1-1 home draw with Burnley and a 2-1 defeat at Arsenal. They responded with a 4-1 victory at Aston Villa, where Joao Pedro scored a hat-trick and had 3.6 XG.

Chelsea couldn’t build on that league victory and were held to a 2-2 draw at Wrexham in the FA Cup. The Blues came from behind twice and scored two goals in extra time to win 4-2.

Rosenior’s outfit were then thrashed 5-2 at PSG in the Champions League. Chelsea trailed twice and Malo Gusto and Enzo Fernandez hit back before the Blues conceded three late goals. 

Newcastle Are BTTS Specialists


Newcastle are a high-scoring Premier League side and have seen BTTS in 66% of their league matches. Only two teams have produced more BTTS results this season.

The Magpies have seen BTTS in 13 successive games, including in seven consecutive matches on the road. 

Eddie Howe’s side lost back-to-back league games against Man City 2-1 and Everton 3-2 before beating Man United 2-1. A 3-1 home defeat to Man City in the FA Cup followed.

The Toon gave up a 1-0 lead and drew 1-1 at home against Barcelona on Tuesday. Newcastle had 1.3 XG, 16 shots and Harvey Barnes scored before Barcelona levelled in the 96th minute. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez; Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella; Reece James, Moises Caicedo; Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto; Joao Pedro

Defender Levi Colwill is sidelined with a long-term knee issue. 

Attacking duo Estevao and Jamie Gittens could return to the squad for the Newcastle game. Liam Rosenior was positive about Gittens’ recent fitness and said, "Jamie Gittens is getting really close [to a return] and he had a really positive scan.”

Newcastle (4-3-3): Aaron Ramsdale; Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Dan Burn, Lewis Hall; Joe Willock, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton; Anthony Elanga, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes

Defensive pair Emil Krafth and Fabian Schar are unavailable due to injury. Midfielders Bruno Guimaraes and Lewis Miley are also unlikely to feature through injury.

Anthony Gordon is likely to start after featuring as a substitute against Barcelona. Newcastle confirmed the winger’s absence from the starting XI after being “unwell”.

Verdict

Chelsea and Newcastle aren’t in convincing form and both sides concede loads of goals. BTTS and over 2.5 goals has good value in this Premier League clash.

Best Bet1: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals BTTS & Total Goals @3/4 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 3.5 Goals Total Goals @29/22 at bet365 - 1 Unit
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