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Newcastle vs Bournemouth Betting Tips & Predictions - Premier League Goals Likely

alex-waite
Editor
Last updated: Thu 16 Apr 2026 11:35
Newcastle and Bournemouth are set to face off in a Premier League match that promises plenty of action. Newcastle's home games have typically ended with both teams scoring, and Bournemouth's recent games have been high-scoring affairs. The analysis suggests betting on Both Teams To Score (BTTS) and over 2.5 goals since these teams are in scoring form. Whether the goal tally crosses 3.5 remains a possibility as well. Get ready for a thrilling encounter filled with goals!
Alex Waite 16 Apr 2026
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  • Newcastle haven’t kept a clean sheet in 8 home games
  • Bournemouth have been leaky in their last 2 matches
  • It’s worth sticking with goals in this Premier League clash
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Newcastle
Newcastle have seen BTTS in their last 7 home games (Getty)

Newcastle vs Bournemouth Preview


Newcastle have struggled to keep the goals out at home all season. Bournemouth have also started conceding more frequently and a Premier League high-scorer is expected.

7 Consecutive BTTS Results for Newcastle


  • Newcastle have seen BTTS in their last 7 home games.
  • Newcastle have seen over 3.5 goals in their last 3 home matches against Bournemouth.
  • Bournemouth have seen BTTS in their last 2 matches.

2025/26 Premier LeagueNewcastleBournemouth
Current Position14th11th
Wins1210
Draws615
Losses147
Goals Scored (pg)45 (1.41)48 (1.50)
Goals Conceded (pg)47 (1.47)49 (1.53)

H2H - Goals Standout


Newcastle have an 8-7 advantage against Bournemouth, alongside seven draws.

Newcastle BTTS Regulars at Home


Newcastle are a high-scoring Premier League home side and have kept just three clean sheets in 16 matches. The Toon have also seen BTTS in league-high 12 games at St James’ Park this season. 

Eddie Howe’s side have lost three consecutive matches, starting with a 7-2 loss at Barcelona and a 2-1 defeat to Sunderland. The Magpies allowed more than 2XG and faced over 17 shots in each defeat.

The Tyneside outfit gave up a 1-0 lead and lost 2-1 at Crystal Palace after the international break. William Osula scored in the first half before Newcastle allowed 2.57 XG and conceded two late goals. 

Bournemouth Get Amongst the EPL Goals


Bournemouth have one of the Premier League’s worst away defences, conceding 32 goals in 16 on the road. The Cherries are also the fifth highest-scoring away side, netting 25.

The south coast outfit tightened up with back-to-back 0-0 draws with Brentford and Burnley. That run ended with a 2-2 draw against Man United, where Bournemouth had 1.81-1.77 XG.

The Cherries followed that stalemate with a 2-1 victory at league leaders Arsenal. Eli Junior Kroupi scored and Arsenal levelled before Alex Scott scored a 74th-minute winner. 

Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Newcastle (4-3-3): Aaron Ramsdale; Tino Livramento, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall; Lewis Miley, Sandro Tonali, Jacob Ramsey; Harvey Barnes, William Osula, Anthony Gordon

Midfielder Joelinton is suspended. 

Defensive pair Fabian Schar and Emil Krafth are injured and midfielder Bruno Guimaraes is unlikely to feature due to illness. 

Bournemouth (4-2-3-1): Dorde Petrovic; Alex Jimenez, James Hill, Marco Senesi, Adrien Truffert; Alex Scott, Ryan Christie; Rayan, Eli Junior Kroupi, Marcus Tavernier; Evanilson

Forward Justin Kluivert and midfielder Lewis Cook are ruled out with long-term injuries.

Julio Soler could feature against Newcastle following a thigh problem. Andoni Iraola was confident that the defender would return soon and said, “There are some cases, especially Julio Soler, who is not ready to play a lot of minutes, but is training with the group and I think he is recovered.”

Verdict

Newcastle score and concede in most home games and Bournemouth have been high-scoring recently. BTTS and over 2.5 goals is the best bet in this Premier League encounter.

Best Bet1: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals BTTS & Total Goals @8/11 at Hollywood bets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Over 3.5 Goals Total Goals @5/4 at bet365 - 1 Unit
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