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Man City vs Arsenal Betting Tips - Haaland to Score in Premier League Title Clash

alex-waite
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Last updated: Fri 17 Apr 2026 11:15
In a pivotal Premier League match-up, Manchester City hosts leaders Arsenal at the Etihad Stadium. City has been formidable at home, unbeaten in their last 14 games, boosted by Erling Haaland's scoring prowess. Arsenal, however, leads the league and remains the best away team. Both teams have injury concerns but will aim not to squander points in this close title race. With a history of recent draws between them, expect a tightly contested fixture. Haaland is tipped to score, potentially in a draw.
Alex Waite 17 Apr 2026
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  • Erling Haaland has scored 13 EPL goals at home
  • Arsenal are the best away side in the top-flight
  • A Premier League draw and Haaland goals are tipped
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Man City
Man City's Erling Haaland has scored 4 goals in his last 2 home games (Getty)

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Man City and Arsenal cannot afford to lose this high-stakes clash at the top of the Premier League. The title rivals can share the points and in-form Erling Haaland is also tipped to score at the Etihad. 

Key Stats - City Strong at Home


  • Man City are unbeaten in 14 consecutive EPL home games.
  • Man City’s Erling Haaland has scored 4 goals in his last 2 home matches.
  • Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 8 away EPL matches. 

2025/26 Premier LeagueMan CityArsenal
Current Position2nd1st
Wins1921
Draws77
Losses54
Goals Scored (pg)63 (2.03)62 (1.94)
Goals Conceded (pg)28 (0.90)24 (0.75)

H2H - Plenty of Recent Draws


Arsenal have a 101-66 advantage against Man City, alongside 48 draws. 

Man City Rarely Lose


Man City are second in the Premier League and trail Arsenal by six points with a game in hand. The Citizens have closed the gap after going unbeaten in nine consecutive games, winning six. 

Pep Guardiola’s side were on a four-match winning streak in the Premier League, with Erling Haaland scoring twice. The Citizens then dropped points after draws against Nottingham Forest at home 2-2 and West Ham away 1-1.

City responded with three consecutive wins, beating Arsenal 2-0 in the EFL Cup and Liverpool 4-0 in the FA Cup. Haaland scored a hat-trick in the Liverpool triumph. 

The Manchester outfit continued their winning run with a comfortable 3-0 away victory at Chelsea. Man City dominated with 2.29 XG, 63% possession and Nico O’Reilly, Marc Guehi and Jeremy Doku scored. 

Arsenal Are the EPL’s Best Away Team


Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal hold top spot in the Premier League with 70 points. The Gunners have lost four of their 32 games, including just two away defeats all season. 

Arsenal are unbeaten in eight consecutive away league games, drawing three and winning five. The North Londoners beat Sporting Lisbon 1-0 in their most recent away game, where Kai Havertz scored in the 91st minute.

Arteta’s team then lost their first Premier League game since January at home against Bournemouth 2-1. 

The Gunners progressed to the Champions League semi-final following a 0-0 home draw with Sporting on Wednesday. Arsenal had 15 shots and restricted Sporting to just 0.29 XG. 

 Predicted Starting Lineups & Team News


Man City (4-2-3-1): Gianluigi Donnarumma; Matheus Nunes, Abdukodir Khusanov, Marc Guehi, Rayan Ait-Nouri; Bernardo Silva, Rodri; Antoine Semenyo, Rayan Cherki, Jeremy Doku; Erling Haaland

Full-back Nico O’Reilly and centre-back John Stones are doubtful for the Arsenal match.

Defensive pair Ruben Dias and Joskov Gvardiol are sidelined due to injury. 

Arsenal (4-2-3-1): David Raya; Cristhian Mosquera, William Saliba, Gabriel, Piero Hincapie; Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice; Max Dowman, Eberechi Eze, Gabriel Martinelli; Viktor Gyokeres

Forward Bukayo Saka and defensive pair Riccardo Calafiori and Jurrien Timber are injury doubts.

Midfield duo Mikel Merino and Martin Odegaard are injured and unavailable.

Noni Madueke came off with a knee injury against Sporting and is a doubt for the City game. Mikel Arteta provided a post-match update on the winger and said, "It was something in his knee, we had to take him off. I don't know the extent of that."

Verdict

Man City and Arsenal will want to keep things tight in this top-of-the-table clash. Haaland scores a lot of goals at the Etihad and he can score in a Premier League draw.

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Best Bet3: Erling Haaland First Goalscorer @18/5 at Star Sports - 1 Unit
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