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USA vs Germany Live Stream & Predictions – Germany Backed to Win in Chicago

vedran-ostojic
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Last updated: Thu 04 Jun 2026 20:23
Germany come into their international friendly against the USA with high confidence, having won their last eight games, including dominant victories in qualifiers and recent matches. In contrast, the USA have struggled in 2026, suffering losses to Belgium and Portugal before narrowly beating Senegal. Historically, Germany holds an 8-4 advantage over the US. The recommendation is for a Germany win, but with the USA likely to score. The most probable outcome is a competitive match, but the Germans' form should see them home comfortably.
Vedran Ostojic 3 hours ago
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  • USA had decent scoring numbers recently but fell short in friendlies
  • We are backing Germany to win with BTTS in Chicago
  • Watch USA vs Germany live on Saturday
Germany are chasing their 9th straight victory (Getty)
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Germany looked intimidating in their most recent clash against Finland (4-0), which was their 8th straight win across competitions. I am backing them to extend this streak on Saturday but USA to score at least one goal. 

Key Stats  


  • USA have lost 2 of their last 3 matches. 
  • USA have seen BTTS in 6 of their last 7 matches. 
  • USA have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches against Germany. 
  • Germany have won their last 8 matches. 

12 Previous Meetings 


Germany have an 8-4 advantage against the United States in terms of victories. 

Stars and Stripes Tagged Underdogs 


This is going to be the last test match for Mauricio Pochettino’s side before the World Cup 2026, and so far, their results haven’t been that convincing in 2026. 

USA started 2026 with a horrible defensive performance and a 5-2 home loss against Belgium where they gained an early lead through Weston McKennie but then conceded five unanswered goals. 

A couple of days later, they were also beaten by Portugal 2-0, while this losing streak ended earlier this week with a 3-2 thriller win against Senegal. Christian Pulisic was named man of the match, registering one goal and one assist. 

Germans Arrive to North America with High Confidence 


Germany had one slip up in the World Cup 2026 qualifiers but still claimed 1st place in Group A ahead of Slovakia, Northern Ireland and Luxembourg with five victories and one defeat. 

In their March friendlies, Julian Nagelsmann’s side claimed back to back victories against Switzerland 4-3 and Ghana 2-1 with Florian Wirtz registering two goals and two assists in these encounters. 

Last weekend, Germans crushed Finland 4-0 in front of the home crowd, posting 3.37-0.40 expected goals with 65% possession and 12-0 shots on target. 

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


USA (3-4-3) Matt Turner; Alex Freeman, Tim Ream, Mark McKenzie; Sergino Dest, Weston McKennie, Tyler Adams, Antonee Robinson; Giovanni Reyna, Ricardo Pepi, Christian Pulisic

The home side have to assess the fitness of defender Chris Richards, who remains a doubt due to an ankle problem. Christian Pulisic is expected to lead the offense after recovering from an injury.

Germany (4-2-3-1) Oliver Baumann; Joshua Kimmich, Jonathan Tah, Nico Schotterbeck, Nathaniel Brown; Leon Goretzka, Aleksandar Pavlovic; Karl, Florian Wirtz, Jamie Leweling; Nick Woltemade

The visitors have opted to rest star playmaker Jamal Musiala, while veteran goalkeeper Manuel Neuer remains sidelined with a calf strain. Deniz Undav is likely to be on bench due to minor fitness problem.

Verdict

USA failed to impress in their 2026 friendlies so I don’t see them getting anything but a consolation goal against red-hot Germany on Saturday. 

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Best Bet2: Germany Win 3-1 Correct Score @1100.0 at Stake.com - 1 Unit
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Correct Score
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