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Mississippi State at LSU Betting Tips –Bulldogs To Cover As Two-TD College Football Underdog

leigh-copson
Editor
Last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026 10:43
Mississippi State are tipped to cover the spread as two-touchdown underdogs against LSU, who have underperformed in Lane Kiffin's first season with two upset defeats and poor record against the spread. Mississippi State, now 4-1 after their first loss of the season, have shown enough offensive strength to stay competitive. Despite LSU's dominance in the all-time series and their previous head-to-head win, the Bulldogs' strong form makes them likely to keep the game within two touchdowns.
Leigh Copson 4 hours ago
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  • Mississippi State tipped to cover as two-touchdown underdogs at LSU
  • LSU struggling under Lane Kiffin, losing twice and failing to cover in 4 of last 5 games
  • Bulldogs have covered in 4 of 5 games this season
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Mississippi State are tipped to cover as a two-touchdown underdog at LSU.

Lane Kiffin’s first season in Baton Rouge has not gone to plan, with two upset defeats leaving them in serious danger of missing out on the College Football Playoffs.

Two touchdowns is a lot of points for a team that has underwhelmed and repeatedly struggled to cover, and this Bulldogs team has enough firepower to cause them problems.

Key Numbers – Can Bulldogs Go 5-1 Against The Spread?

  • Mississippi State have covered in 4 of their 5 games
  • Mississippi State have covered in 2 of their 3 road games
  • LSU have failed to cover in 4 of their previous 5 games
  • The Under has cashed in 2 of LSU’s 3 conference games

LSU Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting

  • LSU lead the all-time series 78-36-3
  • LSU won 41-14 when the two teams last met in September 2023

Mississippi State Take 4-1 Record To Baton Rouge

Mississippi State head to Baton Rouge on the back of their first defeat of the season, which dropped them to 4-1.

The Bulldogs opened the season with back-to-back non-conference wins, and came out on top in both of them.

They blew out UL-Monroe in the season-opener, 62-13, before heading to Minnesota to down the Golden Gophers, 38-13.

Mississippi State then kicked off their SEC campaign with consecutive wins, as they beat South Carolina on the road, 41-34, before getting the better of Missouri at home, 31-24.

The Bulldogs were unable to keep their win streak going though, as they lost 56-23 to Alabama last time out.

LSU Reeling After Second Defeat Of Season

LSU return home in desperate need of a victory, having lost last weekend to drop to 4-2 this season.

The Tigers made a dominant start to the season as they blew out Clemson in primetime, 51-10, and that was followed by a 45-14 rout of Louisiana Tech.

However, their perfect start was brought to an end in their SEC opener, as Lane Kiffin returned to face his former team and suffered a 32-24 defeat to Ole Miss.

LSU rebounded a week later with a 35-6 beatdown of Texas A&M, and then followed that up with a 63-14 demolition of McNeese State.

However, last weekend’s return to SEC action was not a successful one, as they fell to a shock 35-34 defeat at home to Kentucky.

Verdict

The Lane Kiffin era is off to a rough start for LSU, and this is a lot of points for a team that has rarely covered this season.

Mississippi State have made a strong start to their campaign, despite the defeat last time out, and this offense led by Kamario Taylor can keep the Bulldogs within two touchdowns.

Best Bet1: LSU -14.0 Spread @9/10 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Under 58.5 Total Points @9/10 at dabble - 2 Units
LSU -14.0
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Under 58.5
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leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.

During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.

He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.

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