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NFL Week 1 Best Bets - Prescott Unders & 49ers 1st Half

ryan-tucker
Editor
Fact Checked by Jeremy Darke
Last updated: Wed 09 Sep 2026 13:22
NFL Week 1 of the 2026 season returns with exciting matchups, headlined by a Super Bowl rematch and the historic 49ers vs. Rams game in Melbourne. Key betting recommendations include Dak Prescott under 254.5 pass yards against the Giants, San Francisco 49ers winning the 1st half in Australia due to their better travel strategy, and backing Green Bay +1.5 over the Vikings, as the Packers are expected to narrowly outscore their division rivals. These picks reflect strategic edges and historical performance trends.
Ryan Tucker 2 hours ago
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  • Dak Prescott under 254.5 passing yards vs. Giants is a top parlay add.
  • 49ers in better position for first-ever NFL game in Australia; back them 1st half ML.
  • Packers +1.5 favored over Vikings due to stronger offense despite key absence.
NFL Melbourne
(Photo by Morgan Hancock/Getty Images)

NFL Week 1 Best Bets & Predictions - 2026 Season Opener Edition


The wait is finally over - NFL is back and Week 1 already throws up some amazing matcups with a Super Bowl rematch to open the week and 49ers v Rams in Melbourne, Australia.

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants


Pick: Dak Prescott Under 254.5 Pass Yards

Dak Prescott has been terrible in season openers. He has gone Under 188 pass yards in 4 straight games to start a season and now comes up against a Giants defence led by John Harbaugh. 

Dallas are still favoured to win the game so a Giants +2.5 and Prescott Under is a great value parlay.

San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams


Pick: 49ers 1st Half Moneyline

These two teams will play the very first NFL game in Australia at Melbourne's MCG in front of over 100,000 fans. San Francisco have opted to fly in early and acclimatise to the time difference and surroundings while the Rams will arrive the day before and try to keep their body clocks on West Coast Time.

It is a massive call for the Rams to opt for this strategy and it seems its almost like they are prefering to more quickly acclimatise back to LA time once the game is over and they jump back on the plane to the US. Research suggests the travel and time difference affects a human body most over the first 24-48 hours which means San Fran have an advantage from the outset.

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings


Pick: Green Bay +1.5

Minnesota have a strong defensive prescence and a great coaching staff but they enter this season with a new quarterback that is just average. 

The Packers will be without star rusher Micah Parsons to start the season but their ability to produce points both on the ground and through the air should simply see them outscore the Vikings in a tight divisional matchup.

For more NFL Game Previews check out the Freetips NFL Hub
ryan-tucker
Ryan Tucker

Sports Editor & Betting Analyst • Australian Sports Specialist & Betting Model Expert

Ryan is an Australian sports content writer, producing insights and analysis for NRL, AFL and Basketball. He is also our YouTube host and presenter, can be found on Bets.com.au and is also a co-founder of The Sport Cap and The Basketball Fix.

From humble beginnings in Western Sydney growing up playing and refereeing Rugby League to running European wide Australian Rules Football tournaments there is a mountain of experience in between. 

Multiple trips to North America has also deepened the love for the four major US sports and a continuing dream to catch as much live action as possible.

Stats and data analysis has now outgrown the hobby tag and the countless models and simulations are now being put to good use writing previews and predictions for NRL.

You can find Ryan on Muckrack and LinkedIn.

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