SMU at Florida State Betting Tips – Mustangs To Win Monday College Football Clash

Leigh Copson

Editor

Last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026 13:46

Leigh Copson 1 hour ago

Share this article

SMU have covered in 11 of 16 ACC games
Mustangs beat Seminoles 42-16 last meeting
FSU struggling to cover spreads; SMU favoured to cover

(Getty Images)

SMU at Florida State Betting Tips

Key Numbers – Can SMU Make It 12 Covers In 17 ACC Appearances?
SMU Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting
SMU Target ACC Crown After Disappointing 2025
Florida State Won 2026 Season Opener

SMU are tipped to cover as they win a key conference matchup in their season-opener.

The Mustangs had their way with the Seminoles the last time these two teams met, and after an error-strewn performance from FSU a week ago, we like the visitors’ chances of downing Mike Norvell’s team again.

Key Numbers – Can SMU Make It 12 Covers In 17 ACC Appearances?

SMU have covered in 11 of their 16 regular season games since joining the ACC
SMU quarterback Kevin Jennings threw 3 touchdown passes in previous meeting
Florida State have failed to cover in 8 of their previous 10 games
The Under hit in Florida State’s season-opener

SMU Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting

SMU lead the all-time series 1-0
SMU won 42-16 when the two teams last met in September 2024

SMU Target ACC Crown After Disappointing 2025

SMU enter the 2026 season with the conference championship and the playoffs firmly in their sights after a disappointing 2025 campaign.

The Mustangs made it all the way to championship in their first season in the ACC in 2024, but failed to follow that up last year as two of their four defeats came in conference play.

They won their first three games on the ACC slate, beating Syracuse 31-18, Stanford 34-10 and Clemson 35-24, only to then suffer a setback as they lost 13-12 at Wake Forest.

SMU rebounded to beat Miami FL 26-20, Boston College 45-13 and Louisville 38-6, but a 38-35 defeat at California in their regular season finale ended their ACC and playoff hopes.

The Mustangs did at least sign off on a positive note though, beating Arizona 24-19 in the Holiday Bowl.

Florida State Won 2026 Season Opener

Florida State opened their campaign with a 34-17 victory over New Mexico State, but head coach Mike Norvell is already on the hot-seat after a couple of rough seasons.

The Seminoles won just two games during the 2024 campaign – losing seven of their eight games in the ACC – and managed only five victories in 2025.

They made a splash early on as the upset top-10 Alabama on opening weekend, 31-17, and that was followed by blowout wins over lesser schools.

However, Florida State’s form collapsed when the conference schedule began as they lost four straight games.

The Seminoles rallied to win two of the next three, but they wrapped up the ACC slate with a 21-11 loss at NC State, and dropped the regular season finale at Florida, 40-21, to finish 5-7.

Verdict

SMU @ Florida State

Florida State may have won last week, but they did little to suggest that a big turnaround is on the cards.

SMU have made a strong start to life in the ACC and they did roll over the Seminoles in the previous meeting, so give us the Mustangs on the road as pressure mounts on Mike Norvell.

SMU -3.5

Spread

@20/21 - 4 Units

Bet £10 Get £30

with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365

Under 53.5

Total Points

@9/10 - 2 Units

Bet £10 Get £10

Promo Code: NEWBONUS

New customers only. Bet £10+ to receive £10 in Free Bets. 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. 18+. GambleAware.org

Bet at dabble

During his career he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final. He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack.