Australia vs France Betting Tips - Australia tipped to upset the odds in Nations Championship
France holds a strong recent record over Australia, having won six of their last eight matches and coming off a competitive performance in New Zealand. Meanwhile, Australia, despite losing eight of their last nine, showed promise in their recent narrow loss to Ireland. Although France enters as favorites, Australia’s home advantage and improved play offer the potential for an upset, with experts suggesting backing Australia to stay within the +8.5 handicap. Both teams field competitive squads for this intriguing match-up.
- France have won 6 of their last 8 and lead the head-to-head.
- Australia have lost 8 of past 9 but showed improvement last week.
- Analysts back Australia to cover +8.5 handicap, with an upset possible.
France have the better record against Australia and have the team to win here, but Australia were good last weekend but for a few errors. I am backing the hosts to bounce back with a big performance.
- Key Stats - Wallabies in Horrid Form
- France Recent Dominance
- Australia have Lost Eight of their last Nine
- France Need Away Points
- Australia vs France Sarting Lineups
Key Stats - Wallabies in Horrid Form
- Australia have lost 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Australia have lost their last 3 matches to France.
- France are the Six Nations champions.
- France have won 6 of their last 8 matches.
France Recent Dominance
France lead 4-1 in their last five games against Australia and have won the last three.
Australia have Lost Eight of their last Nine
Australia are on a woeful run, one of their worst in rugby union history. They have only managed one win in their last nine matches and that came in a scrappy 19-15 success against Japan.
The 2025 end of year tour to the north ended in defeats to England, Italy, Ireland and France, mostly by comfortable margins. 2026 hasn’t kicked off too well either with the Wallabies going down 33-31 at home to Ireland last weekend.
Australia did not look out of place at all last weekend though, most parts of their game was really good. By half time they had built up a 12-point lead, but they let it slip in the second half.
France Need Away Points
France defended their Six Nations title earlier this year, losing just one game on their way. That defeat to Scotland was a shock loss, but it didn’t hamper their chances of the title.
Usually, the French send a second-string squad on their July tours, and they have done much the same this year, but they have picked a strong squad that usual, despite some names staying at home.
Last week, France came within a whisker of snatching a win on New Zealand soil, losing 34-32 in the end. It was a gutsy display from a side that didn’t have their strongest side available.
Australia vs France Sarting Lineups
Australia: 15 Tom Wright, 14 Max Jorgensen, 13 Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii, 12 Len Ikitau, 11 Dylan Pietsch, 10 Declan Meredith, 9 Ryan Lonergan, 8 Harry Wilson (captain), 7 Fraser McReight, 6 Rob Valetini, 5 Jeremy Williams, 4 Josh Canham, 3 Allan Alaalatoa, 2 Josh Nasser, 1 Angus Bell.
Replacements: 16 Brandon Paenga-Amosa, 17 James Slipper, 18 Taniela Tupou, 19 Lachlan Shaw, 20 Nick Champion de Crespigny, 21 Tate McDermott, 22 Jock Campbell, 23 Filipo Daugunu.
France: 15 Matthieu Jalibert, 14 Theo Attissogbe, 13 Fabien Brau Boirie, 12 Yoram Moefana, 11 Aaron Grandidier-Nkanang; 10 Romain Ntamack, 9 Maxime Lucu (captain), 8 Marko Gazzotti, 7 Oscar Jegou, 6 Lenni Nouchi, 5 Emmanuel Meafou, 4 Florian Verhaeghe; 3 Demba Bamba, 2 Peato Mauvaka, 1 Moses Alo-Emile
Replacements: 16 Maxime Lamothe, 17 Jefferson Poirot, 18 Tevita Tatafu, 19 Hugo Auradou, 20 Tom Staniforth, 21 Killian Tixeront, 22 Nolann Le Garrec, 23 Kalvin Gourgues.
Verdict
Australia have the ability at home to get within the +8.5 handicap with a win not out of question. We are backing an upset.
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