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France vs Italy Betting Tips - Italy can challenge France in Six Nations clash

ralph-staniforth
Editor
Last updated: Fri 20 Feb 2026 21:28
In anticipation of the upcoming France vs Italy Six Nations match, France enters the game as formidable favorites, having convincingly won their first two matches and showcasing their strength as defending champions. However, Italy has shown considerable improvement, with a strong performance against Scotland and a close contest with Ireland. The French team will need to be wary, as Italy poses a genuine threat, although the odds favor a France victory. Key players for both teams have been named, highlighting the strategic battle that awaits. A closely-fought contest is expected, with Italy expected to lose by less than 27.5 points.
Ralph Staniforth 20 Feb 2026
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  • France has won against both Ireland and Wales, confirming their favorites status.
  • Italy shows improvement, nearly upsetting Ireland and defeating Scotland.
  • Key players like Thibaud Flament and Emmanuel Meafou return for France.
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France Six Nations
France in dominant form (Getty Images)

France vs Italy Predictions


France have been sublime in the opening two weeks but Italy have also impressive. I feel the 27.5 handicap is a stretch here, so Italy is carrying the value for me.

  • France have won their last 2 matches.
  • France beat Italy by 40+ points last season.
  • Italy drew against France in their last away encounter.

France Dominant in H2H


In their last 16 matches, France have won 15 with one draw. The draw took place in 2024 in France.

France Flying High


France have come flying out of the blocks in the Six Nations, cementing their tag as favourites. After winning the 2025 Six Nations, France are looking to defend their title.

In round one, France were utterly sublime, running in a 36-14 win against Ireland at home. It was a stellar first half performance, but the French took their foot off the gas in the second, which could have potentially saved Ireland embarrassment.

Last weekend, in round two, France had little trouble seeing off Wales 54-12 in Cardiff. It is hard to judge the French performance given how poor Wales currently are, but in the first half, France looked very, very good.

Italy Impressive thus Far


Italy continues to improve and upset far bigger sides. They are now a real threat who offer consistency rather than the one-off big performance.

In very wet conditions in Rome, Italy beat Scotland 18-15 in round one before traveling to Dublin in round two. Another very strong performance by Italy saw them get close against Ireland, losing 20-13.

It was a game that could easily have gone Italy’s way as they also had a try chalked off for a debatable forward pass.

France vs Italy News


Fabian Galthie has recalled both locks, Thibaud Flament and Emmanuel Meafou for this fixture, knowing what a physical threat Italy offers.

Danilo Fischetti has been named in the starting lineup for Italy in the front row.

France vs Italy Teams


France: 15 Thomas Ramos, 14 Theo Attissogbe, 13 Emilien Gailleton, 12 Fabien Brau-Boirie, 11 Louis Bielle-Biarrey; 10 Matthieu Jalibert, 9 Antoine Dupont (captain), 8 Anthony Jelonch, 7 Oscar Jegou, 6 Francois Cros, 5 Emmanuel Meafou, 4 Thibaud Flament, 3 Dorian Aldegheri, 2 Julien Marchand, 1 Jean-Baptiste Gros.

Replacements: 16 Peato Mauvaka, 17 Rodrigue Neti, 18 Georges-Henri Colombe, 19 Charles Ollivon, 20 Mickael Guillard, 21 Lenni Nouchi, 22 Baptiste Serin, 23 Pierre-Louis Barassi.

Verdict

Italy are backed to lose by less than 27.5 points.

Best Bet1: Italy +27.5 Handicap @10/11 at Hollywood bets - 5 Units
Italy +27.5
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