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Wales vs Scotland Betting Tips - Wales to get close against the Scots in Six Nations

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: Fri 20 Feb 2026 15:54
Wales faces a challenging matchup against Scotland in the upcoming Six Nations rugby match. Having lost 23 of their last 25 games, including heavy defeats in the first two rounds of the 2026 Six Nations, Wales is struggling with only two wins post-2023 World Cup. Meanwhile, Scotland, despite their inconsistency, has managed to win their last three encounters against Wales. Given Scotland's fluctuating performance, Wales might manage to lose by less than a 19.5 point margin, offering a glimmer of hope in their otherwise difficult run.
Ralph Staniforth 20 Feb 2026
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  • Wales lost 23 of their last 25 games, struggling in Six Nations.
  • Scotland won the last 3 encounters against Wales; consistency in question.
  • Wales might lose by less than 19.5 points due to Scotland's inconsistencies.
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wales six nations rugby
Wales to be a bit more competitive (Getty Images)

Wales have been horrid but they have come within a score of Scotland in their last two encounters. Given the Scots lack of consistency, I can see Wales getting within the 19.5 handicap.

Key Stats - 23 Defeats in 25 Matches for Wales


  • Wales have lost 23 of their last 25 matches.
  • Wales have conceded 54, 48, 73 & 52 points in their last 4 matches.
  • Scotland have won their last 3 matches against Wales.
  • Scotland have won their last 2 matches against Wales by 1 and 6 points.
  • Scotland beat England at home last weekend.

Scotland with Last Three Wins


Scotland have won each of the last three encounters against Wales. The last two of which have been by margins of six or less points.

Woeful Wales Continue to Struggle


Wales rugby is struggling at the moment as they still only have two wins since the conclusion of the 2023 Rugby World Cup – both against Japan. They have been hammered twice in the opening two rounds during the 2026 Six Nations as well.

In round one, Wales lost out 48-7 to England at Twickenham. It was followed by a 54-12 home loss to France last Sunday.

Wales have struggled on the field for some time and are expected to once again lose badly to Scotland. The one positive for the hosts is that Scotland have been quite inconsistent over the last few years.

Scotland Looking for Consistency


Scotland have struggled for consistency recently and tend to blow hot-and-cold. There is no more proof needed than the opening two rounds of the 2026 Six Nations.

In round one, Scotland suffered an 18-15 loss IN Rome to Italy, a game they would have fancied winning. Fortunately, Scotland, as they always tend to do, bounced back to beat England 31-20 at home in the Six Nations.

That result will give Scotland huge confidence, but can they back it up with a performance is a bigger question. However, considering the Scots are in good form, they should beat a very poor Welsh outfit.

Wales vs Scotland News


Wales are without a win in the Six Nations for three years now and will be desperate to put that right. Steve Tandy, speaking ahead of the match, said, “I know how they feel. Some of the Scotland teams I played in struggled and had to cut their teeth at international level. It’s the start of a rebuild under a new coaching team. So, they will be looking for those small ‘wins’ and then building on those. There’s plenty of quality there; Scotland will be hoping this isn’t the weekend when it begins to tick for the Welsh.”

Gregor Townsend was not eager to take this result for granted, knowing how poor the Scots were against Italy in round one. He said, “It’s a lot about what you do in those 80 minutes, and we’ve got to make sure that we get our game out."

Wales vs Scotland Teams & Squads


Wales: 15 Louis Rees-Zammit, 14 Gabriel Hamer-Webb, 13 Eddie James, 12 Joe Hawkins, 11 Josh Adams, 10 Sam Costelow, 9 Tomos Williams, 8 Aaron Wainwright, 7 Alex Mann, 6 Taine Plumtree, 5 Ben Carter, 4 Dafydd Jenkins, 3 Tomas Francis, 2 Dewi Lake (captain), 1 Rhys Carre.

Replacements: 16 Ryan Elias, 17 Nicky Smith, 18 Archie Griffin, 19 Freddie Thomas, 20 James Botham, 21 Kieran Hardy, 22 Jarrod Evans, 23 Blair Murray.

Scotland: 15 Blair Kinghorn, 14 Kyle Steyn, 13 Huw Jones, 12 Sione Tuipulotu (captain), 11 Duhan van der Merwe, 10 Finn Russell, 9 Ben White, 8 Matt Fagerson, 7 Rory Darge, 6 Gregor Brown, 5 Scott Cummings, 4 Max Williamson, 3 Zander Fagerson, 2 Dave Cherry, 1 Nathan McBeth.

Replacements: 16 George Turner, 17 Pierre Schoeman, 18 Elliot Millar Mills, 19 Grant Gilchrist, 20 Josh Bayliss, 21 George Horne, 22 Tom Jordan, 23 Darcy Graham.

Verdict

Wales are backed to lose by less than 19.5 points.

Best Bet1: Wales +19.5 Handicap @10/11 at Hollywood bets - 3 Units
Wales +19.5
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