• Home
  • Rugby Union

New Zealand vs France Betting Tips - Tight contest expected in Nations Championship

ralph-staniforth
Editor
Last updated: Fri 03 Jul 2026 17:05
The All Blacks launch a new era under head coach Dave Rennie in their clash with France, who are without many top players but remain 2026 Six Nations champions thanks to notable squad depth. Despite inconsistency in 2025, New Zealand, with an attacking promise and Ruben Love at flyhalf, face a French side led by Fabian Galthie and a strong set piece. France are expected to keep it close, making the +11.5 handicap a strong betting option.
Ralph Staniforth 2 hours ago
Share this article
Or copy link
  • New Zealand starts new era under coach Dave Rennie vs. a weakened but deep French side.
  • France, despite missing key players like Dupont, are backed to stay within +11.5 handicap.
  • Key recommendation: Bet on France +11.5 given their depth and form.
all blacks vs france rugby 2025
France can get close in Christchurch (Getty Images)

France have not got their best players on tour but they do have incredible depth. This is the first game for the All Blacks under Dave Rennie, so I do expect them to take some time to settle in. France +11.5.

Key Stats - New Coaching Staff for All Blacks


  • New Zealand have won their last 3 matches against France.
  • New Zealand have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • France are not at full strength.
  • France are the 2026 Six Nations champions.
  • France have won 7 of their last 8 matches.

Head to Head


New Zealand beat France 3-0 in a home series in July 2025. It must, however, be noted that France had hardly any first-choice players on that tourn.

All Blacks Dave Rennie Era Begins


New Zealand went through 2025 in inconsistent form, failing to win the biggest of their matches on most occasions. This year, with a new coaching staff, they will be hoping for vast improvement as they look towards the 2027 Rugby World Cup.

During the Rugby Championship, New Zealand beat Argentina but lost to the same opponents a week later. Their return home saw them retain their unbeaten Eden Park record, defeating South Africa, but again, a week later, the All Blacks were thrashed 43-10 in Wellington by the Springboks.

The double over Australia followed by wins against Ireland and Scotland put them on a four-match winning streak before falling 33-19 to England at Twickenham. The All Blacks final game of 2025 saw them defeat Wales 52-26.

Weakened France to Produce 


France were impressive as they defending their Six Nations crown earlier this year. They lost just one game on route to the title (50-40 to Scotland) and held on to beat England 48-46 in the final round to claim the title.

During their 2025 Autumn Nations games, France lost to South Africa but beat Fiji and Australia on home soil.

This will be a huge test for France as they have seldom in recent years appeared remotely near full strength in the Southern Hemisphere.

New Zealand vs France Team News


New Zealand: The Dave Rennie era begins this Saturday, and the new head coach has promised a return to New Zealand’s traditional attacking approach. The selection of Ruben Love at flyhalf is the biggest talking point, but his form for the Hurricanes in 2026 has been spectacular.

France: Fabian Galthie has once again brought a side over to the South that is nowhere remotely near full strength. However, it is not quite as inexperienced as last year’s squad. They have a strong set piece and incredible depth, so they will almost certainly challenge the All Blacks. Antoine Dupont was expected to travel but he picked up a niggle in the Top 14 final last weekend.

Verdict

France are backed to get within the +11.5 handicap against the All Blacks.

Best Bet1: France +11.5 Handicap @9/10 at Hollywood bets - 4 Units
Best Bet2: France Win Result @5/2 at 10bet - 1 Unit
France +11.5
Handicap
@9/10 - 4 Units
£30 Free Bet
Use promo code NEWBONUS

Claim £30 free bet & 20 Free Spins. Use the promo code NEWBONUS. New Hollywoodbets account holders. 18 years or older. United Kingdom residents only. T&Cs apply.

Bet at Hollywood bets
France Win
Result
@5/2 - 1 Unit
100% up to £/€50 bonus
Get up to £/€50 on your first deposit

New players. Choose bonus at signup. Wager bonus 10x. Deposit used 1st. Any withdrawals void bonus. Valid 30 days. Odds, bet & payment limits. T&Cs apply. 18+.

Bet at 10bet

Top Betting Sites

special-offer-1Betting offers

Upcoming Events

04 Jul 2026

New Zealand v France

days

hours

min

Add to Calendar
Hear more from Freetips.com