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Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Tips – Take Nuggets & Points In Battle Of NBA Contenders

leigh-copson
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Last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026 09:23
The Denver Nuggets face the Oklahoma City Thunder, with recent stats favoring Denver to cover the spread as underdogs. The Nuggets have covered in seven of the last nine meetings and performed well last season when heavily unfavored. While OKC comes off a strong season-opening win against San Antonio, Denver's strong preseason and positive matchup history suggest backing them with the points offers value. The article recommends taking the Nuggets and the free points in tonight’s game.
Leigh Copson 1 hour ago
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  • Denver have covered spread in 7 of last 9 meetings with Thunder
  • Thunder won season opener against San Antonio with standout performances
  • Article recommends backing Denver to cover as an underdog
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Denver are tipped to cover as a betting underdog at Oklahoma City.

The Thunder have an advantage, having already played on Tuesday night, but this is a lot of points early in the season, and the Nuggets were great in this role during the 2025/26 campaign.

Key Numbers – Will Nuggets Continue OKC Cover Trend?

  • Denver Nuggets have covered in 7 of the previous 9 meetings
  • Denver Nuggets covered in all 4 games as an underdog of 8.5 points or more last season
  • The Over has cashed in each of the last 3 meetings

Thunder Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Nuggets Won Last Meeting

  • Oklahoma City Thunder lead the all-time series 126-109
  • Denver Nuggets won 127-107 when the two teams last met in April 2026

Denver Nuggets Went 3-2 In Pre-Season

Denver made some changes in the offseason, most notably giving themselves an offensive shot in the arm with the arrival of DeMar DeRozan.

Marvin Bagley III also joined the Nuggets as a free agent, while heading out the exit door were the likes of Peyton Watson, Tim Hardaway Jr and Bruce Brown.

They warmed up for the 2026/27 campaign by going 3-2 in their pre-season schedule.

Denver responded to a 109-97 defeat to Utah with victories against the Jazz, 117-106, and Chicago, 133-128.

The Nuggets then lost 122-110 at the LA Clippers, before closing out the pre-season with a 121-106 win at the Los Angeles Lakers.

Oklahoma City Thunder Won Season Opener

Oklahoma City go into their home opener having gained a measure of revenge for last season’s playoff defeat.

The Thunder’s quest for back-to-back NBA titles was ended by San Antonio in the Western Conference Finals back in May, but their bid to win two titles in three years got off to the ideal start on Tuesday.

They knocked off the Spurs in San Antonio, 116-104, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander the star of the show.

SGA racked up 32 points, six rebounds and four assists for Oklahoma City, while the combination of Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren combined for 26 points and 14 rebounds.

Jared McCain made a big impact off the bench too, as he recorded 20 points off 7-9 shooting.

Verdict

Oklahoma City made an impressive start in San Antonio, and they can follow that up with a victory here.

However, Denver rarely disappoint as this big of an underdog, and their recent spread record against the Thunder is excellent, so give us the Nuggets and the free points tonight.

Best Bet1: Denver +8.5 Spread @9/10 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Over 235.5 Total Points @9/10 at dabble - 2 Units
Denver +8.5
Spread
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Over 235.5
Total Points
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leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

US sports writer covering the NFL, NBA, NHL, boxing and MMA, with previews, predictions and betting tips across the major American leagues.

During his career at the Press Association and online sports sites including FreeTips and ExpertPicks.com, he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final.

He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.

Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack and connect with him on LinkedIn.

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