SE Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers Predictions & Tips - Sobey leads Phoenix Scoring
South East Melbourne Phoenix are predicted to continue their high scoring trend when they meet the Adelaide 36ers in their latest NBL matchup. The Phoenix have surpassed 94.5 points in their last five meetings with Adelaide and have been in exceptional offensive form recently. Nathan Sobey is expected to score 20+ points against his former team, where he averages 20.2 points per game. For the 36ers, Bryce Cotton is tipped to make 4+ three-pointers as he remains Adelaide’s biggest offensive weapon.
- SE Melbourne Phoenix have scored at least 99 points in four of their last five NBL games.
- Nathan Sobey averages 20.2 points per game against Adelaide and is set for another strong showing.
- Bryce Cotton, the league’s leading scorer, is predicted to hit 4+ three-pointers for the 36ers.
SE Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers Betting Tips – Phoenix Scoring Surge to Continue
Nathan Sobey will step up again against the Adelaide 36ers, as South East Melbourne continue their scoring surge in the NBL.
- SE Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers Betting Tips – Phoenix Scoring Surge to Continue
- Key Stats
- SE Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers Head to Head
- SE Melbourne Phoenix Form
- Adelaide 36ers Form
The Phoenix have scored at least 99 points in four of their last five games and have cleared 94.5 points in each of their last five meetings with Adelaide. There's plenty of reason to expect another productive night for the home side.
We're also backing Nathan Sobey to score 20+ points against his former club. Sobey has historically enjoyed this matchup, averaging 20.2 points against Adelaide across his career, more than against any other NBL opponent.
For the visitors, Bryce Cotton is our pick to make 4+ three-pointers. The league's leading scorer remains Adelaide's biggest offensive weapon, and with the Phoenix playing some high-scoring basketball recently, Cotton could be called upon to do plenty of damage from outside.
Key Stats
- South East Melbourne have averaged 99.8 points across their last five meetings with Adelaide.
- Phoenix have scored 95+ points in all five of those encounters.
- Phoenix have scored 99+ points in four of their last five games.
- Nathan Sobey averages 20.2 points per game against Adelaide across his career.
- Bryce Cotton is averaging 26.3 points per game this season, ranking first among qualified NBL players.
SE Melbourne Phoenix vs Adelaide 36ers Head to Head
South East Melbourne have scored at least 95 points in their last five meetings with Adelaide, with four of those games producing over 188.5 total points.
| Date | Home | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | Adelaide | ADE 108–96 SEM |
| 14 Mar 2026 | SEM | SEM 101–92 ADE |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Adelaide | ADE 104–97 SEM |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Adelaide | SEM 97–77 ADE |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Adelaide | SEM 108–89 ADE |
SE Melbourne Phoenix Form
South East Melbourne have been one of the NBL's more entertaining offensive teams this season, averaging 96.5 points per game despite an inconsistent 4-4 start.
The Phoenix have scored 113, 99, 105 and 115 points in four of their last five games, with their latest performance a convincing 115-83 victory over Cairns.
Their rebounding has been particularly impressive, averaging 44.6 boards per game to rank third in the competition. However, their shooting percentages remain among the league's lowest, making their recent offensive improvement particularly encouraging.
Nathan Sobey remains an important scoring option for the Phoenix, and his history against Adelaide makes his 20+ points market worth backing.
Adelaide 36ers Form
Adelaide have also opened the season with a 4-4 record, although their scoring has been considerably less consistent than South East Melbourne's.
The 36ers average 88.8 points per game, ranking 10th in the competition, and have failed to reach 94 points in five of their eight outings.
Their latest result was a 94-88 victory over Tasmania, following an impressive 84-78 win against Sydney.
Defensively, Adelaide have been reasonably solid, conceding 90.8 points per game, while their 45.4% field-goal shooting ranks ninth in the NBL.
Bryce Cotton remains the driving force behind the 36ers' offence, averaging a league-leading 26.3 points per game. His perimeter shooting will be particularly important if Adelaide are to match the Phoenix's recent scoring output.
Verdict
South East Melbourne's recent scoring form and excellent head-to-head numbers make Phoenix over 94.5 team points our best bet. We're also backing Nathan Sobey 20+ points and Bryce Cotton 4+ three-pointers.
S.E.M Over 94.5
Team Points
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Nathan Sobey
20+ Points
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Bryce Cotton
4+ Threes
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From when he was a little fella he has played most sports ranging from rugby, ice hockey, tennis and football, just to name a few. His interest in analytics and statistics helps him find the edge while writing previews and being a regular tipster.
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