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Texas vs Michigan Betting Tips – Citrus Bowl Success For Arch Manning & Longhorns

leigh-copson
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Last updated: Tue 16 Dec 2025 14:04
In a thrilling showdown, Texas is favored to cover the spread in the Citrus Bowl against Michigan. Texas wrapped up their regular season positively, boasting a 9-3 record, and are tipped to triumph once again against Michigan, who recently fired their head coach amidst controversy. Historically, Texas leads the head-to-head 2-0 and won their last encounter decisively. While Michigan also ended with a 9-3 season, they struggled against tougher opponents, including a finale loss to Ohio State. Texas's strong closing performance positions them as the recommended pick.
Leigh Copson 16 Dec 2025
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  • Texas ended regular season on a high note, favoured in Citrus Bowl
  • Texas holds a 2-0 all-time series lead over Michigan
  • Both teams missed playoffs, finishing their seasons with 9-3 records
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Texas are tipped to cover the spread as they win the Citrus Bowl.

The Longhorns ended the regular season in positive fashion, while Michigan just fired their head coach amid yet another scandal for the programme.

Key Numbers – Can Texas Make It 7 Wins In 8?

  • Texas won six of their final 7 games of the regular season
  • Michigan’s 2 regular season defeats came away from Ann Arbor
  • The Under cashed in 4 of Texas’ 5 games against ranked teams
  • The Under has hit in 5 of Michigan’s previous 8 games

Texas Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting

  • Texas lead the all-time series 2-0
  • Texas won 31-12 when the two teams last met in September 2024

Texas Compiled 9-3 Regular Season Record

Texas missed out on the college football playoffs as three defeats in 12 games proved to be costly.

The Longhorns entered the campaign as AP’s number one ranked team, but they lost 14-7 to defending champions Ohio State and then underwhelmed in three non-conference wins.

They opened their SEC slate with a 29-21 loss at Florida, only to rebound with four straight wins as they beat Oklahoma 23-6, Kentucky 16-13, Mississippi State 45-38 and Vanderbilt 34-31.

Texas’ playoff hopes suffered a fatal blow in mid-November though, as their four-game run was ended by a 34-10 loss to Georgia.

The Longhorns did at least end the regular season in positive fashion though, beating Arkansas 52-37 before upsetting Texas A&M 27-17.

Michigan Won 9 Of 12 Regular Season Games

Michigan missed out on an appearance in the Big Ten Championship and a trip to the college football playoffs as they also lost three times in the regular season.

The Wolverines opened with three non-conference games, sandwiching a 24-13 defeat at Oklahoma with a couple of wins over small schools.

They made a solid start to the Big Ten campaign as they backed up a 30-27 win at Nebraska with a 24-10 victory over Wisconsin, but they suffered a setback a week later as they fell 31-13 at USC.

Michigan rebounded with a 24-7 win at Washington, and followed that up by downing Michigan State 31-20, Purdue 21-16, Northwestern 24-22 and Maryland 45-20.

The Wolverines were no match for Ohio State in the finale though, as they were beaten 27-9 at home by the Buckeyes.

Verdict

Texas failed to live up to pre-season expectations, but they did at least end the year in positive fashion.

The same cannot be said for Michigan, so we are backing the Longhorns to come out on top.

Best Bet1: Texas -5.5 Spread @9/10 at Hollywood bets - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Under 47.5 Total Points @9/10 at bet365 - 2 Units
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Citrus Bowl - Texas v Michigan