Palmeiras vs Fluminense Predictions & Tips - Hosts Backed to Finish the Job in Copa Libertadores Showdown
Palmeiras welcome Fluminense to Nubank Parque for the second leg of the Copa Libertadores semi-final, holding a 2-1 advantage after last week's win. Palmeiras’ recent form is strong, with six wins in their last eight matches and four consecutive victories across competitions. Fluminense, meanwhile, have lost their last three games and face injury concerns. The article concludes that Palmeiras, boasting a formidable home record, are likely to secure victory and progress to the final.
- Palmeiras lead Fluminense 2-1 in the Copa Libertadores semi-finals
- Palmeiras tipped to win the second leg at Nubank Parque this week
- Get our Palmeiras vs Fluminense predictions and tips in the Copa Libertadores
- Palmeiras vs Fluminense Predictions
- Palmeiras Form Points to Home Win
- Palmeiras Lead Recent H2H Record
- Palmeiras Extend Winning Run in Curitiba
- Fluminense Suffer Another Setback
- Palmeiras vs Fluminense Team News
Palmeiras vs Fluminense Predictions
Palmeiras welcome Fluminense to Nubank Parque for the second leg of their Copa Libertadores semi-final early on Thursday.
The hosts hold a 2-1 advantage after last week's win at the Maracana and will be confident of finishing the job this week.
Palmeiras to win is my best bet.
Palmeiras Form Points to Home Win
- Palmeiras won 6 of their last 8 matches
- Palmeiras won 3 of their last 5 matches against Fluminense
- Fluminense lost their last 3 matches
Palmeiras Lead Recent H2H Record
Palmeiras and Fluminense have met 15 times in competitive action since 2020. Palmeiras won six of those encounters, Fluminense claimed five victories, while four matches finished level.
Palmeiras claimed a 2-1 win in last week's Copa Libertadores semi-final first leg at the Maracana.
Palmeiras Extend Winning Run in Curitiba
Palmeiras return to Sao Paulo after a comfortable 2-0 victory at Athletico Paranaense in Serie A on Saturday.
Mauricio and Joaquin Piquerez opened the scoring before Andreas Pereira was sent off before the interval.
Despite being reduced to ten men, Abel Ferreira's side defended their lead to secure another valuable three points.
Final stats reflected the pressure Palmeiras faced after the red card. Athletico controlled possession (64%), outshot the visitors 24-6 and registered a higher xG total of 1.26 compared to Palmeiras' 0.31.
Saturday's success extended Palmeiras' winning run to four matches across all competitions. The Verdao scored nine goals while conceding just twice in those victories.
A strong home record should only add to the host's confidence this week. Palmeiras won each of their last six games at Nubank Parque.
Last season's Copa Libertadores finalists are bidding to reach their eighth final. The Brazilian side have lifted the trophy three times, most recently in 2021.
Fluminense Suffer Another Setback
Fluminense travel to Sao Paulo after a 2-1 home defeat against Santos in Serie A on Sunday.
Rodrigo Castillo gave the hosts an early lead, but goals from Gabriel Barbosa and Philippe Coutinho completed the turnaround.
Santos were good value for their win at the Maracana. The visitors outshot Fluminense 17-8 and had five efforts on target to the hosts' two. Cuca's side also recorded a higher xG total of 2.07 compared to Fluminense's 1.09.
The out-of-form Tricolor have lost five of their last seven matches, including each of their last three fixtures.
Results on the road have also been particularly disappointing. Marcao's side lost at Atletico Mineiro, Platense and Flamengo in three of their last four away fixtures.
Bidding to reach the Copa Libertadores final for only the second time in their history, the Tricolor claimed their only previous title in 2023.
Fluminense reached the semi-final stage with a 3-2 aggregate win against Platense despite losing the second leg in Argentina.
Palmeiras vs Fluminense Team News
Palmeiras: (3-5-2) Carlos Miguel; Murilo Cerqueira, Gustavo Gomez, Alexander Barboza; Agustin Giay, Marlon Freitas, Lucas Evangelista, Andreas Pereira, Joaquin Piquerez; Jhon Arias, Jose Manuel Lopez.
Abel Ferreira has a couple of selection issues this week. Vitor Roque is expected to remain sidelined after missing the last two matches with a right ankle sprain.
Former Rangers defender Jefte also misses out due to a provisional doping suspension.
Head coach Ferreira returns to the touchline after serving his one-match continental suspension this week.
Fluminense: (4-2-3-1) Fabio; Guga, Thiago Silva, Julian Millan, Guilherme Arana; Hercules, Nonato; Agustin Canobbio, Paulo Henrique Ganso, Jefferson Savarino; Hulk.
Head coach Marcao has a handful of injury issues ahead of Wednesday's semi-final.
John Kennedy remains sidelined with a knee injury, while German Cano, Matheus Reis and Alisson are still working back towards full fitness.
Martinelli also faces a late fitness test after picking up a knock in last week's first-leg.
Guga, Thiago Silva, Millan and Ganso are expected to return to the first XI after missing last weekend's defeat against Santos.
Verdict
Palmeiras are usually a reliable force at home, and given current form, should be expected to finish the job in Wednesday's Copa Libertadores semi-final second leg.
I have my stake on the hosts to claim a 90-minute victory.
I have my stake on the hosts to claim a 90-minute victory.
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