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Sturm Graz vs Marseille Tips & Predictions – Hosts Underestimated in the Europa League

vedran-ostojic
Editor
Last updated: Tue 20 Oct 2026 15:39
Marseille has struggled in their Europa League matches so far, failing to impress in both appearances. In contrast, Sturm Graz showed resilience by earning a draw against Rennes in their opening round. Given these dynamics, the article suggests that Sturm Graz has a strong chance of gaining at least a point when they face Marseille on Thursday. The key conclusion is that Marseille is not favored, and Sturm Graz’s chances are promising based on recent performances.
Vedran Ostojic 1 hour ago
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  • Marseille have performed poorly in both of their UEL matches
  • We are backing Sturm Graz to grab at least one point on Thursday
  • Check our full match preview for Sturm Graz vs Marseille below
Sturm Graz are unbeaten in 6 of their last 7 home matches (Getty Images)

Apart from beating two relegation candidates in Ligue 1, Marseille haven’t shown much in the last two months. Sturm Graz rarely lose at home, and I will back them to grab at least one point on Thursday. 

Key Stats  


  • Sturm Graz are unbeaten in 6 of their last 7 home matches. 
  • Marseille have lost 6 of their last 8 matches. 

Two Previous Meetings 


These sides clashed in the UEFA Champions League group stage in late 1999. 

Mixed Results for Sturm 


Sturm Graz started the Europa League main stage with a goalless draw at home against Rennes in mid-September where they had 0.73-1.75 xG, 38% possession and 11-23 shots. 

The Blackies were nowhere close to scoring last week against Bournemouth either, losing 3-0 at the Vitality Stadium while firing just one shot on target. 

Sturm let their frustrations out in the Austrian Bundesliga last weekend, beating Grazer 6-1 in front of the home crowd, Oumar Diakite stealing the spotlight scoring a hat-trick. 

Visitors Desperate for Points 


Marseille’s defending was disastrous in the Europa League opening round against Besiktas, suffering a 4-1 loss in Istanbul with Keyliane Abdallah scoring a consolation. 

They struggled in last week’s home clash against Olympiakos too and registered another defeat 1-0. Igor Paixao and Amine Harit missed big chances to score an equalizer here. 

The only reason why Bruno Genesio still has a job is OM’s domestic form, claiming back to back victories against Troyes 2-0 and Angers 5-2.

Team News & Predicted Lineups 


Sturm Graz (4-4-2) Matteo Helac; Lord Malic, Oliver Hodl, Paul Koller, Gabriel Balbo; Lukas Heil, Jon Gorenc Stankovic, Tim Weinhandl, Emran Soglo; Simon Seidl, Gaoussou Diakite

Daniil Khudyakov, Gizo Mamageishvili, Otar Kiteishvili, Nelson Weiper, Filip Rozga, Seedy Jatta, Emran Soglo, and Leon Grgic face various injury concerns for the home side.

Marseille (4-2-3-1) Jeffrey de Lange; Timothy Weah, Bamo Meite, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson Palmieri; Keyliane Abdallah, Yakine Mmadi; Amine Harit, Himad Abdelli, Igor Paixao; Amine Gouiri

Marseille have arrived in Graz with Derek Cornelius and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg listed as major doubts due to fitness problems, but have no other absentees.

Verdict

Both of Marseille’s Europa League performances have been poor, so I don’t see them as favorites here. Sturm Graz held Rennes to a draw in the opening round, and I like their chances of picking up at least a point on Thursday as well. 

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vedran-ostojic
Vedran Ostojic

Sports Editor • 10+ Years Of Experience in Football, Basketball, Handball & Volleyball

Vedran is a passionate sports enthusiast and covers European football, basketball, volleyball and handball.


With a particular love for the English Premier League, he's been writing about sports online for more than a decade since completing a degree in literature and sports journalism.

The primary areas of focus include top European football leagues (mainly EPL, La Liga, Serie A & Bundesliga), basketball (EuroLeague, NBA & WNBA), Handball and Volleyball.

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