Porto vs Napoli Predictions & Betting Tips - Value on Napoli in the Champions League

Matthew Marshall

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Last updated: Mon 02 Nov 2026 18:48

Matthew Marshall 4 hours ago

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Porto have lost all 3 Champions League matches
Napoli have scored 11 goals in their last 4 games
I am siding with the visitors in northern Portugal

Porto last met Napoli in 2014 (Getty)

Porto are the favourites here but have lost their last four matches in Europe. Napoli have had some excuses on the road in recent weeks but have more than enough talent to score in Portugal.

Stats
HTH
Porto 0-3 in the Champions League
Napoli Inconsistent
Predicted Lineups & Team News

Stats

Porto have lost their last 4 matches (UEFA competitions).
Napoli have lost 6 of their last 7 away matches (Champions League).
Napoli have scored 3+ goals in 3 of their last 4 matches.

HTH

These club last met in the 2013/14 Europa League Round of 16, Porto winning 1-0 at home before a 2-2 draw in Italy.

Porto 0-3 in the Champions League

Porto have won all 10 matches in Liga Portugal, scoring 25 goals with four conceded. They thrashed Estoril 4-0 on Saturday with Gabri Veiga registering a goal and two assists.

Francesco Farioli’s side haven’t been as convincing in the Champions League, losing all three games. A 2-0 defeat to Manchester City was followed by a 3-2 loss at Real Betis and 1-0 defeat against PSV.

Napoli Inconsistent

Napoli have been well below their best this season and currently sit eighth in Serie A. They are coming off a 2-0 defeat at Juventus where they had only one shot on target.

Massimiliano Allegri’s side lost their opening two Champions League matches, 1-0 against Arsenal and 3-1 at Villarreal. They beat Bodo/Glimt 4-3 with Scott McTominay scoring two goals.

The Campania club have proven they are capable of finding the net, scoring 11 goals in four games.

Predicted Lineups & Team News

Porto (4-3-3) Diogo Costa; Alberto Costa, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Zaidu Sanusi; Victor Froholdt, Pablo Rosario, Gabri Veiga; Pepê, Samu Aghehowa, Borja Sainz

Chris Smalling picked up an injury in the League Cup and William Gomes is close to returning from an ankle injury. Oskar Pietuszewski could feature after a minor muscle injury.

Souza replaced Zaidu Sanusi at half-time against Estoril and could get a start here.

Samu Aghehowa might begin on the bench as he continues to gain full fitness. André Silva and Santiago Giménez are the other options up front.

Napoli (4-3-3) Alex Meret; Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Rafa Marin, Mathias Olivera; Kevin De Bruyne, Billy Gilmour, Scott McTominay; Matteo Politano, Rasmus Hojlund, Noa Lang

Centre-backs Benoit Badiashile and Alessandro Buongiorno are out alongside full-back Costantino Favasuli.

Leonardo Spinazzola is a chance to return at left-back. Stanislav Lobotka is expected back in the coming weeks alongside Brazilian wingers Alisson Santos and David Neres.

Verdict

FC Porto v Napoli

I am not willing to back Porto who have proven that their domestic form means little in the Champions League. Napoli have the capability to win the midfield battle and steal all three points in Portugal.

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Matthew Marshall is an Australian who worked in a number of industries before combining his love of football and media communications degree to become a sports journalist. Now living in Portugal, he is a Portuguese football expert at PortuGOAL and has covered multiple UEFA U21 European Championships, the 2022 and 2026 FIFA World Cup and the 2024 European Championship.