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Florida State at Alabama Betting Tips – Crimson Tide To Avenge 2025 College Football Loss To FSU

leigh-copson
Editor
Last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026 13:26
Alabama enters their Week 3 matchup against Florida State with a 2-0 record and momentum from two convincing wins. The Crimson Tide are favored to cover the spread, thanks to a stout defense and improving offense led by Keelon Russell. In contrast, Florida State has struggled early, failing to cover the spread and coming off a narrow loss to SMU. Key recommendation: Bet on Alabama to cover, as their defense is poised to neutralize Florida State’s attack and seek revenge for last year.
Leigh Copson 1 hour ago
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  • Alabama enters 2-0, coming off two good wins
  • Florida State at 1-1, struggling to cover the spread
  • Key tip: Bet on Alabama to cover as their defense dominates
(Getty Images)

Alabama are tipped to cover as they gain a measure of revenge for last year’s loss.

Keelon Russell and this Crimson Tide offense have shown flashes through the first couple of games, but more importantly this defense has been stout and can shut down FSU’s attack.

Key Numbers – Will Alabama Improve To 3-0?

  • Alabama have won their first 2 games of the season
  • Alabama have covered in both of their previous wins
  • Florida State are yet to cover the spread this season
  • The Under has cashed in each of Florida State’s first two games

Alabama Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; FSU Won Last Meeting

  • Alabama lead the all-time series 3-2-1
  • Florida State won 31-17 when the two teams last met in August 2025

Florida State 1-1 Following Last Week’s Loss

Florida State head to Alabama on the back of their first defeat of the season and with Mike Norvell still firmly in the hotseat.

The Seminoles enjoyed a winning start to the campaign, but it was an underwhelming performance from them as they beat New Mexico State 34-17 at home.

They then kicked off their ACC conference schedule with a home meeting with ranked SMU, and while they were not blown out, they did lose that matchup.

Florida State never led in the matchup and were eventually beaten by a 20-yard Nick Reed field goal with 21 seconds remaining.

In reality, SMU could – and probably would – have put the game to bed earlier had they not turned the ball over four times.

Alabama Take Perfect 2-0 Record Into Week 3

Alabama go into this matchup with a perfect 2-0 record, having record back-to-back convincing wins to start the season.

The Crimson Tide began their campaign against East Carolina and it was no surprise to see them come away with a 48-10 victory.

That set them up for their SEC opener in Kentucky on Saturday, and they faced stubborn resistance in the first half and trailed the Wildcats by three heading into the break.

However, Alabama took the game over after the break, scoring 32 unanswered points as their defense shut out the hosts.

Offensively Daniel Hill was the star of the show for the Crimson Tide, racking up 104 yards and one touchdown off 18 carries.

Verdict

Alabama are yet to put together a full 60 minutes, but there have been promising signs through two games.

This defense was particularly impressive in the second half last weekend, and that unit can play a key role in helping the Crimson Tide win this game and cover the spread.

Best Bet1: Alabama -19.5 Spread @9/10 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Under 49.5 Total Points @9/10 at dabble - 2 Units
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leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

During his career he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final. He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.


Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack.

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