• Home
  • American Football

SMU at Louisville Betting Tips – Cardinals To Win Key Conference Clash In College Football

leigh-copson
Editor
Last updated: Wed 16 Sep 2026 14:13
Louisville are favored to cover the spread in their home opener against SMU, despite SMU's 4-0 all-time record in the matchup. Louisville's recent win and strong offensive output, particularly from quarterback Lincoln Kienholz, suggest they are ready to bounce back from last year's heavy defeat by SMU. Meanwhile, SMU boasts a perfect record, with Kevin Jennings leading a dynamic offense. However, Louisville’s performance against top competition gives them an edge to get revenge and make it back-to-back wins.
Leigh Copson 45 minutes ago
Share this article
Or copy link
  • Louisville tipped to cover the spread after strong performances
  • SMU leads all-time series 4-0 and remains unbeaten this season
  • Cardinals’ QB Kienholz expected to lead a revenge win at home
(Getty Images)

Louisville are tipped to cover the spread as they make it back-to-back wins.

The Cardinals will be motivated by last season’s blowout loss, and in Lincoln Kienholz they have a quarterback that can lead them to victory in a shootout.

Key Numbers – Will Cardinals Go 3-0 Against The Spread?

  • Louisville have covered in their two previous games
  • Louisville have scored 97 points across their first two games
  • The Over has hit in both of Louisville’s games so far

SMU Lead All-Time Head-To-Head; Won Last Meeting

  • SMU lead the all-time series 4-0
  • SMY won 38-6 when the two teams last met in November 2025

SMU Take Perfect Record On The Road

SMU head to Louisville looking to make it three straight wins and improve their conference record to 2-0.

The Mustangs opened up with an ACC matchup against Florida State on the road, and returned home with a 27-24 victory.

They followed that up last weekend with a 56-10 blowout of UC-Davis in their home opener.

Kevin Jennings went 14/16 for 337 yards and five touchdowns before exiting the game, and by the end of the game no less than 16 players had caught a pass.

Theo Melln Ohrstrom had two touchdowns off his three grabs, while Derrick McFall showcased his dual threat with 103 total yards and a touchdown.

Louisville Looking To Build On First Win

Louisville go into their home opener on the back of their first win of the season, which improved them to 1-1.

The Cardinals were handed a tough opener in the form of a showdown with top-10 Ole Miss, and although they lost they were far from disgraced.

They pushed the Rebels to the limit in the second half, before finally falling to a 41-38 defeat.

Louisville faced less of a challenge last week as they opened up at home to Villanova, and it was no surprise to see them win by a large margin, 59-13.

Lincoln Kienholz went 16/21 for 332 yards and two touchdowns, while also playing his part on the ground as he rushed for 42 yards and two more scores.

Verdict

Louisville may be the team with a loss on their record, but that was the most impressive either team has been so far this season.

Kienholz has looked the part through two games, and we expect him to shine again as the Cardinals get revenge for that heavy loss last season.

Best Bet1: Louisville -1.5 Spread @9/10 at bet365 - 4 Units
Best Bet2: Over 59.5 Total Points @9/10 at dabble - 2 Units
Louisville -1.5
Spread
@9/10 - 4 Units
Bet £10 Get £30
with bonus code NEWBONUS

Available to new customers only. Make a qualifying deposit of £5 or more and claim the offer within 30 days of registering your account to qualify for 300% of that amount in Bet Credits, up to a maximum of £30 in Bet Credits. Once released, your Bet Credits will be held in your account balance and are non-withdrawable. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Registration required. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code NEWBONUS can be used during registration but does not change the offer amount in any way. #ad

Bet at bet365
Over 59.5
Total Points
@9/10 - 2 Units
Bet £10 Get £10
Promo Code: NEWBONUS

New customers only. Bet £10+ to receive £10 in Free Bets. 7-day free bet expiry. Stake not returned. Promotional Terms Apply. 18+. GambleAware.org

Bet at dabble
leigh-copson
Leigh Copson

Sports Editor • 25+ Years Experience, US & Combat Sports Specialist

During his career he has covered some of the biggest sporting events on the planet, including the Super Bowl, the Champions League Final and the World Cup Final. He has also covered almost every major boxing match and UFC fight card during this time.. His specialist sports are American Football, Basketball, Ice Hockey, Boxing, Mixed Martial Arts and Football.


Follow more of Leigh's work on Muckrack.

Read More

Top Betting Sites

special-offer-1Betting offers

Upcoming Events

15 September 2026

16 September 2026

Load More
19 Sep 2026

SMU @ Louisville

days

hours

min

Add to Calendar
Hear more from Freetips.com